NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	5.5 [692]		MVP	Bill Wennington (CHI): +15.7%
San Antonio Spurs	88		Comeback	2.3 [307]		LVP	Vernon Maxwell (SAS): -20.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bill Wennington	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.00	11	75%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	58%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	18	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.05
Michael Jordan	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	35	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Jason Caffey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	0	25%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Perdue	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	17	56%	0.03	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	20	54%	0.03	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	19	44%	0.00	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	13	22%	-0.15	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.5	26.3	15.7	24.2	1.8	28.0	118.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.9%

SAS -16.3%

SAS -0.3%

CHI +24.9%

CHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAS	NBA	CHI	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.6	104.3	94.6	104.4
season	15.5	16.8		110.5	100.8
opponent	15.4	16.1		109.4	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	15.3	15.1	15.3	15.2
SAS	14.3	14.7	18.4	16.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	81	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-6	21	15.0	17.0	-2.05	16.0	14.5	1.50
Bill Wennington	62	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-3	15	14.8	16.1	-1.27	16.1	15.1	1.00
Michael Jordan	76	76	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	15.0	16.1	-1.03	15.1	18.6	-3.54
Toni Kukoc	44	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	1	7	15.7	14.8	0.84	15.9	15.6	0.32
Steve Kerr	48	48	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	7	-5	15.9	14.5	1.36	15.9	15.6	0.30
Ron Harper	64	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	14	-19	15.5	14.6	0.86	16.5	14.1	2.41
Dennis Rodman	71	71	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	9	-9	15.3	15.0	0.22	15.2	17.6	-2.47
Randy Brown	5	6	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	12.2	15.4	-3.19	12.2	16.0	-3.83
Jason Caffey	14	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	10	-11	15.6	15.2	0.42	17.5	15.4	2.12
Jud Buechler	0	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	7	-5	0.0	15.2	-15.22	2.0	15.9	-13.90

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	12	12	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-12	15	12.2	16.3	-4.12	15.8	15.1	0.71
Vinny Del Negro	45	45	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-14	19	15.8	15.7	0.05	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Carl Herrera	14	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-3	-3	18.1	15.3	2.81	18.0	14.7	3.28
Greg Anderson	18	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	19.5	14.9	4.65	16.0	15.0	0.99
Will Perdue	69	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-6	3	15.2	17.2	-1.96	14.4	17.6	-3.18
Dominique Wilkins	84	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-6	3	15.1	21.8	-6.67	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Avery Johnson	80	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.18	-10	1	-11	15.8	15.5	0.25	15.1	15.9	-0.84
Vernon Maxwell	61	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	4	-17	15.7	15.9	-0.19	15.6	14.5	1.05
Sean Elliott	82	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	3	-15	16.1	12.9	3.23	15.2	15.1	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 99, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
POR 99, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.7%
BOS 105, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.07,0,0,0	94.2%