NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	7.6 [313]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (VAN): +30.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	96		Comeback	2.2 [671]		LVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): -23.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.14	-0.00	10	52%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Will Perdue	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	78%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Greg Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	17	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.04
Cory Alexander	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	9	38%	-0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Carl Herrera	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Elliott	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23	-0.17	-0.08	-0.02	15	42%	-0.10	5	-0.13	10	70%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.19	-0.03	14	61%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.10	0.01	9	72%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	64%	0.10	1	-0.05	10	60%	0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	5	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Roy Rogers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	5	53%	-0.09	3	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	24.3	14.8	28.0	1.7	42.2	138.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +70.1%

SAS -11.3%

SAS -11.9%

VAN +11.2%

SAS -8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	VAN	NBA	SAS	VAN	NBA
this game	18.4	14.2	15.6	103.4	107.9	104.4
season	16.8	16.3		100.8	97.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	20.0	18.9	18.0	16.6	18.4
VAN	14.3	10.6	14.1	18.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Johnson	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-3	1	19.5	16.9	2.61	13.8	14.7	-0.86
Cory Alexander	10	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	2	-9	17.7	18.5	-0.76	9.4	14.9	-5.51
Will Perdue	41	41	-0.18	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	0	-5	19.6	17.3	2.31	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Carl Herrera	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	3	-11	19.4	17.9	1.44	13.3	14.6	-1.34
Vinny Del Negro	59	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-11	17	17.3	20.5	-3.20	15.1	12.5	2.60
Dominique Wilkins	64	65	-0.32	-0.19	-0.13	-0.35	1	-6	7	18.4	18.3	0.11	14.7	12.9	1.74
Greg Anderson	47	48	-0.33	-0.18	-0.15	-0.33	0	-5	5	17.3	19.6	-2.31	14.5	13.8	0.67
Sean Elliott	85	86	-0.46	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	18.0	28.0	-9.96	14.1	16.0	-1.87
Vernon Maxwell	57	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	2	-9	18.6	18.0	0.63	14.5	13.6	0.98

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	75	74	0.77	-0.26	1.03	0.39	13	-8	21	14.3	13.4	0.99	18.6	17.4	1.21
George Lynch	39	36	0.70	-0.19	0.89	0.32	13	-8	21	13.3	14.9	-1.57	18.4	18.4	0.02
Anthony Peeler	50	48	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.23	10	-5	15	13.7	14.8	-1.07	17.6	19.3	-1.79
Greg Anthony	47	47	0.31	0.20	0.11	0.25	2	3	-1	14.8	13.5	1.31	18.3	18.4	-0.07
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	-2	9	14.6	12.7	1.86	18.3	18.7	-0.44
Lee Mayberry	42	41	0.20	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	2	1	13.5	14.8	-1.31	18.4	18.3	0.07
Blue Edwards	63	63	0.13	0.38	-0.25	0.22	-3	8	-11	14.1	14.5	-0.44	18.8	17.2	1.59
Lawrence Moten	39	40	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	10	-15	14.8	13.7	1.07	19.3	17.6	1.79
Roy Rogers	21	21	-0.36	0.87	-1.23	0.08	-15	20	-35	14.3	14.2	0.12	16.6	18.9	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.82,0.69,0.78,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 101, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.58,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.58,1	91.3%
NJN 107, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	90.9%
LAC 80, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	90.8%