NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	107		Excitement	8.5 [183]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +16.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	1.8 [350]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -28.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	11	71%	0.21	4	-0.09	6	67%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	0.02	-0.11	0.01	17	59%	-0.02	2	-0.07	7	86%	-0.04
Lucious Harris	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.14	0.13	-0.21	0.05	17	68%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.4,-0.27,-0.28	-0.23	-0.07	-0.01	21	21%	-0.21	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.15	-0.01	9	60%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.14	0.00	10	59%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.10
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	73%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.04	25	58%	0.09	6	-0.11	9	89%	0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.5	31.5	15.4	26.6	2.5	41.2	140.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +61.5%

PHI +18.1%

NJN -38.2%

PHI +3.7%

PHI +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.9	15.5	117.6	117.4	101.6
season	15.0	15.3		101.1	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.9	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.7	16.9	15.6	16.0	15.5
PHI	17.7	14.4	17.1	14.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	0	-1	16.6	15.4	1.19	16.3	15.9	0.41
Rodney Rogers	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	5	-11	15.7	15.5	0.21	18.9	15.5	3.38
Kenyon Martin	77	79	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.54	14	-15	29	15.0	18.4	-3.42	15.8	16.7	-0.88
Jason Collins	57	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.41	8	-9	17	15.3	16.0	-0.74	16.2	15.5	0.77
Kerry Kittles	49	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	6	-13	15.2	16.0	-0.81	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Aaron Williams	30	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	10	-21	15.8	15.4	0.39	16.3	15.8	0.50
Richard Jefferson	71	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.49	2	-3	5	15.9	14.2	1.65	16.2	15.1	1.09
Jason Kidd	81	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-1	1	15.4	16.6	-1.19	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Lucious Harris	69	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.53	-4	3	-7	16.1	13.8	2.33	15.0	18.8	-3.80

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	71	70	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.57	8	-7	15	16.2	14.9	1.33	15.5	15.8	-0.35
Kenny Thomas	51	50	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-12	25	15.0	17.0	-2.01	15.5	15.5	0.00
Allen Iverson	87	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-3	7	16.0	14.8	1.20	15.5	15.4	0.15
Derrick Coleman	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	2	-3	15.9	15.9	-0.01	15.8	15.1	0.62
Aaron McKie	73	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.44	-8	9	-17	15.4	18.1	-2.74	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Brian Skinner	33	32	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	-4	9	16.9	15.4	1.47	15.9	15.4	0.52
Greg Buckner	44	43	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	4	-7	15.5	16.4	-0.88	15.0	16.0	-1.02
John Salmons	3	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	2	-3	17.0	15.9	1.10	19.3	15.4	3.92
Keith Van Horn	41	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.27	-12	13	-25	17.0	15.0	2.01	15.5	15.5	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 101, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.58,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.58,1	92.6%
MEM 103, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.81,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	91.8%
MIL 93, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.42,1	91.6%