inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Clippers 80 Excitement8.7 [98] MVPSherman Douglas (LAC): +11.2%
Denver Nuggets 82 Comeback1.6 [644] LVPLorenzen Wright (LAC): -29.5%


Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sherman Douglas0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.07-0.01862%0.121-0.0100%0.00
Tyrone Nesby0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.010.12-0.100.011566%0.0100.00250%-0.03
Troy Hudson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Skinner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00250%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Eric Piatkowski-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01333%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Lamond Murray-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.1,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.001148%-0.031-0.03989%0.04
Darrick Martin-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.00437%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Rodney Rogers-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.06-0.001436%-0.062-0.0800%0.00
Michael Olowokandi-0.280,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.28-0.07-0.200.011250%-0.024-0.26250%-0.02
Lorenzen Wright-0.290,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.18-0.110.00920%-0.194-0.1020%-0.10

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00677%0.081-0.031100%0.00
Johnny Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.010.001953%0.104-0.1300%0.00
Eric Washington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00954%-0.031-0.031070%0.01
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.050.01381%0.044-0.131070%-0.01
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.1-0.10-0.180.07-0.011935%0.003-0.108100%0.08
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.050.00520%-0.071-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.52.326.115.824.22.535.5126.9
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +9.7%
DEN +26.5%
LAC -6.8%
DEN +16.7%
DEN +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLACDENNBALACDENNBA
this game17.415.315.890.993.299.6
season16.715.597.5100.7
opponent15.614.7107.6107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAC19.815.518.116.517.4
DEN13.815.115.317.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrick Martin3130-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-3419.316.42.9216.014.91.02
Brian Skinner1617-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-1015.917.8-1.8312.116.1-3.94
Lorenzen Wright6159-0.07-0.430.350.01-31-418.515.03.5116.413.13.32
Troy Hudson109-0.15-0.350.200.05-75-1219.217.21.9916.415.21.28
Eric Piatkowski3331-0.17-0.340.17-0.02-53-818.916.62.3216.014.91.04
Lamond Murray4547-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.436-81415.020.0-5.0715.115.5-0.41
Rodney Rogers5557-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.486-81416.319.2-2.9014.816.1-1.29
Sherman Douglas5254-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.420-2216.418.9-2.5614.416.6-2.20
Tyrone Nesby6766-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.41-31-418.115.22.8815.913.52.33
Michael Olowokandi7070-0.600.10-0.70-0.48-42-617.616.70.9615.016.4-1.37

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Fortson77790.84-0.341.180.618-61415.414.50.8617.715.12.59
Eric Williams61620.60-0.100.700.426-41016.013.82.1416.918.6-1.68
Antonio McDyess80800.460.040.420.49-13-415.314.70.6017.714.92.81
Bryant Stith53520.450.050.390.334-2616.513.43.1017.317.6-0.35
Chauncey Billups63640.390.110.280.3902-215.015.9-0.8717.816.41.40
Cory Alexander25240.110.39-0.280.0520215.915.00.8716.417.8-1.40
Nick Van Exel1312-0.050.55-0.600.04-35-815.215.3-0.0817.117.5-0.40
Johnny Taylor2928-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-24-613.816.0-2.2415.818.2-2.41
Eric Washington3939-0.230.73-0.97-0.12-46-1013.416.8-3.3918.616.52.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 114, CHI 1200.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.73,0.79,0.64,0.69,0.73,192.7%
PHX 107, POR 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.74,192.4%
NYK 93, SAS 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.78,0.84,191.9%