NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	6.5 [489]		MVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): +13.3%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.8 [740]		LVP	Tony Massenburg (NJN): -17.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Williams	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	14	71%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	17	53%	0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.02	-0.06	0.07	15	50%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	4	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	14	46%	0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	6	83%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	11	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	13	57%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.05	0.04	12	66%	-0.00	0	0.00	11	91%	0.02
Kenny Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	15	47%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	1	67%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	24.3	15.8	24.4	2.6	31.2	125.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.1%

DET +3.2%

DET +4.4%

DET +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.6	95.7	104.3	104.4
season	15.4	17.1		101.7	107.6
opponent	16.2	14.9		102.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.0	16.4	15.6	14.6	14.8
DET	14.1	17.1	19.6	16.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	60	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.12	2	-10	12	15.6	13.2	2.43	17.2	15.2	2.01
Kerry Kittles	73	73	-0.12	-0.37	0.25	-0.15	1	-9	10	14.0	18.1	-4.09	16.2	17.7	-1.56
Kendall Gill	83	83	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-5	2	14.7	16.0	-1.33	16.6	15.3	1.29
Reggie Williams	16	16	-0.31	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	0	-8	12.6	15.3	-2.71	10.5	17.8	-7.26
Tony Massenburg	34	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	0	-8	15.0	14.7	0.26	17.1	16.2	0.87
Khalid Reeves	24	24	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.09	-11	3	-14	17.2	14.0	3.25	16.2	16.6	-0.39
Robert Pack	87	87	-0.45	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	14.9	14.0	0.85	16.9	10.4	6.45
Jayson Williams	83	84	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	14.7	15.9	-1.20	16.8	13.4	3.42

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	67	68	0.69	-0.20	0.88	0.10	20	-12	32	17.5	13.8	3.76	15.9	11.7	4.13
Grant Long	49	48	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-2	12	16.8	16.1	0.68	15.6	13.9	1.76
Joe Dumars	65	65	0.44	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-2	12	17.6	13.9	3.70	15.9	12.1	3.76
Otis Thorpe	50	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	2	4	18.2	14.5	3.68	16.9	12.1	4.78
Lindsey Hunter	70	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	1	6	15.9	18.5	-2.63	15.1	13.9	1.18
Michael Curry	35	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	3	2	14.4	17.8	-3.34	12.5	16.2	-3.70
Don Reid	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	9	-10	14.3	17.6	-3.28	12.0	16.2	-4.23
Theo Ratliff	28	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	6	-4	16.1	16.7	-0.56	13.8	15.2	-1.45
Kenny Smith	17	17	-0.02	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	14	-20	13.4	17.2	-3.86	11.9	15.5	-3.51
Terry Mills	23	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	14	-20	17.1	16.3	0.78	13.5	15.3	-1.76
Stacey Augmon	25	24	-0.17	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	15	-22	16.4	16.6	-0.19	13.2	15.4	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.92,1	92.3%
POR 93, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	92.2%
SAC 86, PHX 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.98,1	92.1%