NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	86		Excitement	7.9 [229]		MVP	Doug Christie (SAC): +4.9%
Phoenix Suns	88		Comeback	1.8 [617]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -35.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	12	71%	0.13	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	7	29%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	11	63%	0.05	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.04
Peja Stojakovic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	0.00	15	44%	0.05	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	6	33%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.19	-0.05	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.36	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.36	-0.11	-0.24	0.01	24	45%	-0.19	5	-0.17	1	0%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	17	59%	0.11	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	21	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.13,-0.11,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	22	43%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.06	-0.03	17	29%	-0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	27.4	15.8	24.2	1.8	26.4	120.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +5.4%

SAC -8.3%

PHX +31.4%

PHX +22.4%

SAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	13.4	15.6	15.5	87.8	88.0	100.9
season	14.4	14.9		103.1	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		96.2	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.2	15.1	12.6	14.2	13.4
PHX	13.5	15.5	14.5	20.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	11	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	-1	0	15.2	13.2	1.95	17.3	15.4	1.87
Vlade Divac	69	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-2	2	13.2	13.9	-0.68	14.7	17.5	-2.81
Jason Williams	50	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-1	0	12.9	14.0	-1.12	14.3	16.9	-2.54
Scot Pollard	31	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	4	-10	14.7	12.9	1.89	15.7	15.6	0.15
Hedo Turkoglu	31	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-3	4	14.2	13.1	1.09	17.8	14.6	3.24
Bobby Jackson	48	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-1	0	14.0	12.9	1.12	16.9	14.3	2.54
Chris Webber	88	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-1	0	13.2	15.2	-1.95	15.5	17.2	-1.76
Peja Stojakovic	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-2	2	13.0	14.8	-1.80	15.6	15.6	0.05
Doug Christie	87	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-1	0	13.2	15.2	-1.95	15.4	17.3	-1.87

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	78	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-8	18	15.8	15.0	0.74	14.1	11.3	2.81
Shawn Marion	78	79	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-7	16	15.5	16.1	-0.60	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Tony Delk	62	60	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-5	12	16.5	14.2	2.23	14.2	12.2	1.98
Jason Kidd	92	90	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	15.4	18.4	-2.99	13.6	11.7	1.85
Clifford Robinson	76	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	6	-10	15.6	15.7	-0.06	12.8	15.5	-2.71
Vinny Del Negro	8	8	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.01	0	2	-2	18.4	15.4	2.99	11.7	13.6	-1.85
Chris Dudley	30	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	4	-6	14.5	16.1	-1.65	12.0	14.0	-2.01
Mario Elie	38	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	7	-12	14.2	16.5	-2.23	12.2	14.2	-1.98
Tom Gugliotta	38	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	9	-16	16.5	15.1	1.42	14.9	12.7	2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.98,1,1	93.2%
VAN 92, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	92.7%
SEA 98, CHH 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,1	92.1%