NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	92		Excitement	6.7 [444]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +24.3%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	1.5 [1154]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -21.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	12	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	23	55%	0.09	3	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Pete Chilcutt	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Michael Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Antonio Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Hurley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.08
George Lynch	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	18	44%	-0.16	3	-0.05	12	58%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.15	0.01	7	81%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.02	13	67%	0.18	3	-0.09	10	70%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	65%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	12	47%	-0.03	2	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	29.2	16.0	27.4	2.6	33.0	133.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +57.9%

CHI +15.4%

VAN -23.9%

CHI +1.0%

VAN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	CHI	NBA	VAN	CHI	NBA
this game	17.1	15.5	15.6	104.5	110.1	102.5
season	15.1	16.2		101.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.3		97.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	21.1	15.0	18.9	14.4	17.1
CHI	16.8	12.7	15.4	17.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	40	40	0.07	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-11	16	19.9	14.7	5.24	16.1	15.0	1.07
Antonio Daniels	24	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-7	8	16.7	17.2	-0.55	17.9	14.5	3.39
Tony Massenburg	9	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-2	-2	15.1	17.3	-2.18	15.6	15.5	0.13
Bobby Hurley	26	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	0	-6	16.3	17.4	-1.08	15.7	15.4	0.37
Pete Chilcutt	30	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-4	2	14.9	18.2	-3.29	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Lee Mayberry	59	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-8	10	17.7	15.8	1.95	15.4	15.7	-0.35
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-6	6	17.4	16.2	1.27	15.7	15.1	0.57
Bryant Reeves	79	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-4	2	17.3	15.1	2.18	15.5	15.6	-0.13
George Lynch	47	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.17	-12	6	-18	15.3	19.1	-3.80	15.5	15.4	0.13
Sam Mack	63	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.22	-12	6	-18	17.1	17.0	0.15	14.5	17.9	-3.45

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	74	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-7	20	14.6	19.8	-5.19	17.6	14.5	3.06
Dickey Simpkins	20	19	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-5	16	15.2	15.6	-0.30	14.5	17.8	-3.31
Scottie Pippen	62	61	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-1	8	15.6	15.1	0.48	17.1	16.9	0.26
Steve Kerr	36	35	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	4	-2	17.0	14.5	2.50	14.1	19.0	-4.86
Randy Brown	30	29	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	-2	10	15.2	15.6	-0.38	16.6	17.3	-0.72
Scott Burrell	22	23	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	2	2	13.6	16.1	-2.45	15.9	17.5	-1.56
Dennis Rodman	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	3	0	12.8	16.7	-3.88	18.2	16.5	1.68
Toni Kukoc	70	70	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	8	-10	15.4	15.9	-0.52	17.3	16.2	1.13
Joe Kleine	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	8	-10	16.1	15.2	0.90	19.0	16.0	2.99
Ron Harper	38	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	9	-12	16.1	15.0	1.09	19.7	15.0	4.76
Jud Buechler	22	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	10	-14	18.0	14.7	3.28	13.3	18.2	-4.88
Bill Wennington	12	11	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.04	-7	13	-20	18.7	15.0	3.78	18.2	16.9	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.89,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.98,1,1	93.8%
SEA 98, CHH 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,1	93.7%
BOS 83, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.89,0.94,0.97,1,1	93.5%