NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	6.9 [470]		MVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): +13.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	1.8 [895]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -20.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	6	92%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	14	65%	0.09	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	5	56%	0.05	2	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	3	44%	-0.03	1	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	16	41%	-0.03	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.05
Paul Pierce	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	9	26%	-0.07	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	27	54%	0.12	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.11	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Jiri Welsch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	6	43%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	5	71%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	10	42%	-0.06	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	34.5	14.7	26.2	2.5	29.2	132.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +29.1%

BOS -8.3%

CLE +19.4%

CLE +7.1%

CLE +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.5	95.6	111.1	104.0
season	14.4	16.2		104.7	104.6
opponent	15.3	16.0		103.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.0	15.7	15.7	17.2	16.1
CLE	14.7	16.3	16.4	16.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	37	38	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-22	30	15.3	16.7	-1.38	16.1	15.8	0.28
Tony Allen	36	38	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-15	16	15.1	16.8	-1.62	16.4	15.5	0.83
Gary Payton	47	45	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-18	22	16.0	16.3	-0.28	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Paul Pierce	55	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-14	14	15.8	16.7	-0.89	15.5	16.4	-0.92
Delonte West	26	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-3	-8	15.4	16.4	-1.02	16.6	15.6	1.04
Antoine Walker	57	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-12	10	15.7	16.9	-1.21	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Justin Reed	20	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-8	2	16.8	15.9	0.89	16.1	15.8	0.34
Mark Blount	29	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-7	0	16.6	15.9	0.75	16.0	15.8	0.17
Al Jefferson	20	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-4	-6	17.3	15.8	1.53	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Kendrick Perkins	33	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-5	-4	17.6	15.3	2.31	17.2	15.2	1.99
Marcus Banks	32	33	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.00	-17	3	-20	16.8	15.7	1.04	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Ricky Davis	58	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.03	-21	7	-28	16.3	15.7	0.61	15.4	16.7	-1.28

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	73	73	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.07	23	-9	32	15.7	16.9	-1.22	16.4	14.8	1.59
Robert Traylor	34	35	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.04	21	-7	28	15.9	15.9	-0.06	17.0	15.5	1.50
Anderson Varejao	47	46	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.05	20	-6	26	15.9	15.8	0.10	17.3	14.9	2.35
Ira Newble	68	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	1	12	15.7	16.5	-0.75	15.6	17.8	-2.15
LeBron James	86	85	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	1	12	16.2	9.7	6.42	16.2	14.8	1.39
Sasha Pavlovic	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	10	-6	16.0	15.8	0.21	16.9	15.8	1.12
Drew Gooden	43	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	20	-26	15.8	15.9	-0.10	14.9	17.3	-2.35
Jiri Welsch	3	3	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	17	-20	20.3	15.7	4.60	17.7	16.1	1.61
Jeff McInnis	14	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	20	-26	16.1	15.8	0.30	14.2	16.5	-2.25
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	57	56	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	23	-32	15.6	16.3	-0.70	15.7	16.8	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 92, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.8%
DEN 91, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.91,0.9,1	93.7%
NYK 70, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%