NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	94		Excitement	7.4 [344]		MVP	Stanley Roberts (LAC): +19.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	2.6 [549]		LVP	Armen Gilliam (MIL): -14.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Wolf	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	27	53%	0.16	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	19	56%	0.10	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Keith Tower	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Sherman Douglas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.08	0.01	7	65%	-0.02	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Armen Gilliam	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	12	37%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	14	59%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	83%	0.17	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.04	3	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	10	35%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Duckworth	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	14	43%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	18	43%	-0.03	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.6	26.5	13.0	25.8	0.8	35.2	127.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +24.7%

LAC +2.4%

LAC +28.1%

MIL -10.6%

LAC +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	16.2	15.6	96.9	109.7	104.4
season	16.0	15.8		103.9	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.7	12.3	15.3	15.5	14.1
LAC	14.0	17.2	16.0	18.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Tower	42	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.04	-2	-6	4	14.1	14.2	-0.09	14.8	17.3	-2.52
Sherman Douglas	49	48	-0.05	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-6	4	14.7	13.5	1.19	15.0	17.6	-2.64
Ray Allen	69	65	-0.27	-0.24	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	13.6	15.5	-1.93	16.1	16.5	-0.38
Johnny Newman	41	41	-0.35	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-5	2	14.4	13.9	0.42	17.1	15.5	1.63
Joe Wolf	63	60	-0.37	-0.14	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-6	4	13.5	15.2	-1.67	17.4	14.2	3.18
Glenn Robinson	84	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	14.5	11.9	2.54	15.9	18.5	-2.68
Elliot Perry	48	45	-0.46	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	13.5	14.7	-1.19	17.6	15.0	2.64
Armen Gilliam	89	86	-0.63	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	4	-16	14.6	9.2	5.31	16.1	17.7	-1.60

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Roberts	59	60	1.08	-0.58	1.66	0.32	26	-18	44	16.3	16.1	0.23	13.8	14.6	-0.85
Pooh Richardson	69	72	0.50	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-1	10	15.9	17.2	-1.25	14.7	12.3	2.43
Loy Vaught	57	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-1	10	16.4	16.1	0.30	15.4	12.1	3.26
Malik Sealy	71	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-1	10	16.2	16.5	-0.29	14.0	14.6	-0.63
Bo Outlaw	45	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.19	2	6	-4	16.8	15.7	1.18	13.3	15.0	-1.69
Eric Piatkowski	22	21	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	9	-10	16.5	16.2	0.29	14.6	14.0	0.63
Lamond Murray	26	26	0.08	0.43	-0.35	0.08	0	8	-8	16.4	16.2	0.21	15.0	13.8	1.14
Rodney Rogers	60	62	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	7	-6	15.6	17.4	-1.79	13.8	14.7	-0.92
Terry Dehere	12	13	0.01	0.50	-0.49	0.01	0	8	-8	16.2	16.2	-0.08	13.5	14.2	-0.76
Darrick Martin	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	18.2	16.0	2.22	11.1	14.6	-3.47
Lorenzen Wright	5	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	12	-16	20.8	16.0	4.82	10.8	14.3	-3.50
Kevin Duckworth	27	29	-0.31	0.82	-1.13	-0.02	-10	18	-28	15.2	16.7	-1.43	14.2	14.1	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.56,0.72,0.92,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.47,0.79,0.99,1,1	92.4%
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.96,0.92,1	92.0%
WAS 106, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.76,0.89,0.95,0.92,1	91.9%