NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	7.1 [372]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +25.9%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	1.9 [684]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -11.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.03	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.03
William Avery	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	20	48%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	19	47%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	13	46%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.12	0.00	22	73%	0.34	4	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.16	-0.01	0.16	-0.01	12	63%	0.24	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	16	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	26.3	15.7	27.8	1.8	31.8	128.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +48.5%

PHX +18.1%

MIN -11.6%

MIN -5.3%

PHX +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.1	15.5	97.0	106.1	100.9
season	15.0	14.9		102.9	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.9		96.2	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.9	13.7	17.5	14.6	15.1
PHX	13.9	13.4	15.2	14.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
William Avery	1	0	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-8	8	5.0	15.2	-10.20	0.0	14.1	-14.13
Chauncey Billups	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	-4	0	15.5	15.0	0.50	12.8	14.3	-1.57
Todd Day	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.07	-3	-5	2	17.1	14.5	2.56	13.6	14.3	-0.70
Sam Mitchell	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	16.6	14.3	2.22	12.4	15.0	-2.64
LaPhonso Ellis	64	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-7	6	14.8	15.7	-0.86	13.9	14.5	-0.64
Wally Szczerbiak	64	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-5	2	14.5	16.2	-1.74	15.0	12.4	2.64
Anthony Peeler	75	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-4	0	14.5	17.0	-2.51	14.2	14.1	0.07
Rasho Nesterovic	43	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	5	-18	16.7	13.9	2.86	14.1	14.2	-0.08
Terrell Brandon	90	89	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-5	2	15.0	16.4	-1.48	14.3	12.0	2.35
Kevin Garnett	89	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-4	0	14.6	19.3	-4.67	14.4	11.6	2.82

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	81	83	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-3	14	14.4	13.0	1.37	15.1	15.2	-0.18
Tony Delk	53	53	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-2	12	13.8	14.6	-0.82	15.3	14.9	0.35
Jason Kidd	88	89	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	4	0	14.4	11.6	2.82	14.6	19.3	-4.67
Rodney Rogers	70	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	3	2	13.4	16.1	-2.71	15.2	14.7	0.49
Jake Tsakalidis	40	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	-5	18	14.6	13.8	0.75	16.8	13.9	2.93
Clifford Robinson	89	89	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	7	-6	14.3	12.6	1.74	14.9	17.1	-2.22
Elliot Perry	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	1.0	14.3	-13.27	8.0	15.2	-7.17
Mario Elie	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	14.8	14.0	0.84	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Vinny Del Negro	51	52	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	12	-16	14.1	14.1	-0.03	15.0	15.2	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.47,0.79,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.56,0.72,0.92,0.98,1	92.4%
BOS 77, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.3%
PHI 88, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.89,0.96,1	92.2%