NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	6.9 [424]		MVP	Walt Williams (TOR): +14.7%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	1.6 [758]		LVP	Hubert Davis (TOR): -14.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.21	-0.09	-0.02	14	85%	0.23	1	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Acie Earl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Whiteside	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sharone Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	14	57%	0.07	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.03
Carlos Rogers	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	35%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.04
Hubert Davis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	6	17%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.03,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	18	64%	0.13	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.04	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	60%	0.09	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	24.4	15.4	30.6	2.5	28.2	126.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +19.2%

TOR -3.2%

ORL +36.4%

TOR -5.7%

ORL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ORL	NBA	TOR	ORL	NBA
this game	17.3	16.2	15.6	101.2	107.0	104.4
season	16.1	16.4		102.2	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		103.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.4	16.7	19.2	15.7	17.3
ORL	14.7	16.8	15.8	17.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sharone Wright	32	29	0.07	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-9	13	17.5	17.1	0.32	16.1	16.3	-0.18
Donald Whiteside	7	6	0.01	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-6	7	16.3	17.4	-1.07	19.0	16.0	2.99
Marcus Camby	18	19	-0.09	-0.40	0.31	0.06	-5	0	-5	17.7	17.2	0.50	15.3	16.5	-1.23
Popeye Jones	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	4	-13	17.8	17.0	0.80	14.6	17.3	-2.65
Carlos Rogers	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.33	3	-8	11	17.2	17.3	-0.10	16.7	15.2	1.48
Hubert Davis	47	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-6	7	17.7	16.7	1.05	15.8	16.7	-0.99
Acie Earl	27	27	-0.31	-0.18	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-4	3	17.7	17.1	0.64	18.1	15.3	2.81
Walt Williams	72	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-5	5	16.9	18.9	-1.98	16.7	13.9	2.74
Doug Christie	69	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	2	-9	16.9	18.6	-1.65	15.7	18.2	-2.44
Damon Stoudamire	69	71	-0.63	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	7	-19	17.1	17.8	-0.69	16.2	16.1	0.11

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wilkins	66	66	0.72	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-7	19	16.0	17.0	-1.08	17.4	16.8	0.54
Horace Grant	76	76	0.68	-0.19	0.87	0.24	15	-10	25	15.9	19.0	-3.14	17.5	15.6	1.89
Brian Shaw	56	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-4	13	16.1	16.4	-0.33	17.0	17.8	-0.82
Nick Anderson	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-2	9	16.2	16.3	-0.08	16.9	19.0	-2.10
David Vaughn	30	30	0.19	0.30	-0.11	-0.10	10	-5	15	15.8	16.4	-0.65	17.5	17.1	0.41
Rony Seikaly	49	50	0.09	0.40	-0.31	0.30	-7	12	-19	16.7	15.6	1.10	16.9	17.7	-0.83
Darrell Armstrong	41	39	-0.02	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	10	-15	15.8	16.6	-0.75	18.3	16.4	1.86
Derek Strong	40	40	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.23	-16	21	-37	17.6	15.0	2.67	16.9	17.6	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.61,0.65,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.98,1	92.1%
VAN 77, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.84,1	91.5%
NJN 89, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.59,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.96,1	91.2%