NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	77		Excitement	7.3 [360]		MVP	Shawn Respert (TOR): +4.7%
Toronto Raptors	81		Comeback	1.8 [1093]		LVP	Lee Mayberry (VAN): -16.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Leckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pete Chilcutt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	58%	-0.01	5	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	19	52%	-0.02	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.12	-0.00	-0.12	0.00	19	58%	-0.02	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.03
Lee Mayberry	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.01	19	38%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Clifford Rozier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	0.01	-0.00	9	15%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	14	38%	-0.06	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	9	36%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	18	33%	-0.12	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.8	30.1	15.8	23.3	2.6	32.0	134.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -6.2%

VAN -10.9%

TOR +31.9%

TOR +26.8%

TOR +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	TOR	NBA	VAN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	17.7	15.6	89.5	94.2	104.4
season	16.3	16.1		97.9	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.6	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	12.6	16.7	18.7	15.9	15.8
TOR	17.4	17.6	18.2	17.6	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	5	5	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-4	4	19.4	15.6	3.81	12.2	18.0	-5.81
Greg Anthony	54	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-4	4	15.9	15.7	0.25	17.6	17.8	-0.13
Blue Edwards	24	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-2	0	16.1	15.7	0.43	19.2	17.0	2.15
Aaron Williams	50	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.42	10	-14	24	15.0	16.9	-1.85	18.6	16.3	2.25
Eric Leckner	5	4	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	5	-14	18.0	15.7	2.32	13.0	17.9	-4.90
Chris Robinson	4	5	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	4	-12	12.5	16.0	-3.48	16.2	17.8	-1.57
Anthony Peeler	82	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-8	12	16.0	12.5	3.48	17.8	16.2	1.57
Bryant Reeves	81	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-9	14	15.7	18.0	-2.32	17.9	13.0	4.90
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	62	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-2	0	15.7	16.1	-0.43	17.0	19.2	-2.15
Roy Rogers	31	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	10	-24	16.5	15.4	1.05	17.0	18.0	-0.98
Lee Mayberry	32	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	0	-4	15.7	15.9	-0.25	17.8	17.6	0.13

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	65	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-5	14	17.7	17.5	0.20	16.6	13.1	3.47
Clifford Rozier	43	44	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-3	10	17.6	17.8	-0.19	16.7	14.8	1.92
Walt Williams	82	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-1	6	17.3	26.0	-8.73	15.6	20.0	-4.44
Doug Christie	64	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	2	0	18.1	16.4	1.76	15.9	15.5	0.46
Damon Stoudamire	80	80	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	8	-12	17.6	19.2	-1.60	15.7	17.5	-1.81
Shawn Respert	17	17	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	-1	6	17.1	17.8	-0.69	15.9	15.8	0.09
Sharone Wright	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	1	2	20.0	16.8	3.12	13.7	16.6	-2.89
Hubert Davis	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	-2	8	15.2	18.3	-3.10	16.7	15.6	1.08
Popeye Jones	18	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	11	-18	21.2	16.7	4.49	13.4	16.5	-3.14
Oliver Miller	20	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	10	-16	15.2	18.4	-3.16	16.2	15.7	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	93.9%
POR 81, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.82,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.72,1	93.2%
OKC 97, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	93.2%