NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	99		Excitement	6.7 [460]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +23.2%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	1.3 [872]		LVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): -28.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.15	-0.03	0.05	19	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Bryant Stith	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	18	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	22	43%	0.01	3	-0.09	9	56%	-0.03
Sarunas Marciulionis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	0.06	7	67%	-0.00	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.12	0.01	17	74%	0.30	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	81%	0.14	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	15	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.17	0.01	-0.03	15	40%	-0.03	4	-0.10	10	60%	0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.19	-0.09	-0.00	10	14%	-0.19	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	23.0	14.0	27.2	2.3	41.4	135.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +16.0%

NJN +5.0%

NJN +25.4%

NJN +2.5%

NJN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NJN	NBA	DEN	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	13.3	15.6	97.1	103.9	104.4
season	15.2	15.4		102.3	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		106.6	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.4	14.9	16.0	13.5	14.9
NJN	13.4	15.1	14.0	11.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Pierce	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-7	7	16.0	14.8	1.17	12.3	13.4	-1.06
Tom Hammonds	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-4	1	16.5	14.7	1.77	11.8	13.5	-1.70
Darvin Ham	40	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-6	5	14.5	15.1	-0.58	12.1	14.0	-1.92
Jeff McInnis	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-2	-3	14.3	15.0	-0.62	12.2	13.4	-1.22
Sarunas Marciulionis	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	1	-9	14.1	15.3	-1.24	13.5	13.3	0.19
Bryant Stith	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-6	5	15.0	14.6	0.42	13.6	12.7	0.86
Dale Ellis	97	97	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-7	7	14.8	17.2	-2.42	13.0	20.6	-7.64
Ervin Johnson	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	15.3	14.2	1.11	14.9	10.9	3.99
Mark Jackson	93	93	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	15.0	14.3	0.62	13.4	12.2	1.22
Antonio McDyess	83	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.30	-9	2	-11	14.9	15.1	-0.25	13.2	14.1	-0.94

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Williams	69	70	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-4	15	14.3	11.3	3.00	15.2	14.2	1.04
Kendall Gill	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.05	16	-9	25	13.4	13.3	0.09	15.2	14.0	1.22
Tony Massenburg	57	56	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	2	3	12.0	15.0	-2.94	14.4	15.5	-1.09
Khalid Reeves	37	39	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-1	9	14.8	12.5	2.32	14.0	15.5	-1.50
Reggie Williams	29	31	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	0	7	12.7	13.6	-0.90	14.1	15.2	-1.11
Robert Pack	87	85	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.34	-1	8	-9	12.7	16.7	-3.99	14.7	16.1	-1.39
Kerry Kittles	75	74	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	9	-11	12.9	14.6	-1.76	15.4	13.7	1.69
Xavier McDaniel	34	33	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	1	5	13.4	13.3	0.16	16.6	14.1	2.52
Ed O'Bannon	5	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	12	-17	10.8	13.5	-2.66	9.6	15.2	-5.58
Shawn Bradley	38	38	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	17	-27	15.0	12.3	2.70	14.9	14.9	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, NOH 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.93,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.4%
NJN 90, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%
ATL 81, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.7%