NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	5.7 [691]		MVP	Justin Reed (MIN): +14.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	1.1 [1116]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (NJN): -10.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.02	19	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.11	-0.02	0.09	13	65%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Vince Carter	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	24	53%	0.10	2	-0.09	7	71%	-0.02
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Scott Padgett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.00	9	64%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.05	0.07	14	76%	0.21	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.02	9	87%	0.22	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.04
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	17	54%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	40%	-0.05	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.6	31.3	17.6	26.2	2.5	34.3	137.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +55.6%

MIN +2.7%

MIN +3.7%

NJN -10.5%

NJN -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.6	100.0	109.9	104.4
season	15.7	16.1		102.1	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.7		103.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.8	17.8	16.3	14.6	16.6
MIN	14.9	13.5	17.2	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	62	62	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.18	10	-20	30	16.0	18.0	-1.98	16.1	13.4	2.72
Nenad Krstic	34	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-10	10	17.4	16.1	1.30	16.7	14.2	2.48
Jason Kidd	71	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-12	14	16.2	17.9	-1.71	15.3	14.9	0.49
Lamond Murray	9	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	0	-10	19.4	16.3	3.16	10.9	15.8	-4.87
Scott Padgett	22	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-10	10	16.5	16.6	-0.07	16.2	14.9	1.25
Jacque Vaughn	17	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	17.5	16.4	1.15	15.6	15.1	0.51
Vince Carter	80	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	16.7	16.0	0.68	15.0	17.4	-2.44
Antoine Wright	27	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	5	-20	15.8	17.0	-1.17	13.1	16.1	-2.96
Richard Jefferson	87	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	16.3	24.0	-7.66	15.3	14.0	1.26
Clifford Robinson	41	40	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.12	-15	5	-20	17.4	15.9	1.54	14.6	15.7	-1.17

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	48	47	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.17	21	-11	32	14.2	16.4	-2.16	16.6	16.6	0.04
Rashad McCants	53	53	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.19	19	-9	28	14.2	16.7	-2.45	16.4	16.9	-0.50
Justin Reed	59	56	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.15	19	-9	28	14.3	16.9	-2.58	16.2	17.3	-1.12
Kevin Garnett	77	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	5	0	15.1	16.0	-0.91	15.8	21.1	-5.30
Ricky Davis	84	83	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	10	-10	15.6	11.0	4.58	16.3	20.6	-4.31
Mark Madsen	18	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	7	-4	16.1	15.0	1.10	20.1	15.7	4.44
Trenton Hassell	45	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	9	-8	15.8	14.7	1.08	17.5	15.8	1.72
Mark Blount	28	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	17	-24	17.0	14.5	2.50	17.3	16.3	1.00
Marcus Banks	43	43	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	21	-32	16.4	14.2	2.16	16.6	16.6	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 81, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.76,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.3%
ORL 88, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	93.1%
DEN 99, NJN 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%