NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	81		Excitement	5.5 [703]		MVP	David Robinson (SAS): +12.9%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	1.5 [701]		LVP	Derek Anderson (SAS): -15.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	6	100%	0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.03	0.02	8	87%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.01	-0.09	0.03	31	51%	-0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	-0.00	-0.03	13	36%	-0.09	3	-0.06	10	30%	-0.09

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	80%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	0.00	0.03	24	41%	-0.09	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	14	47%	-0.02	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	31.6	20.5	24.4	2.6	31.4	136.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +4.2%

SAS +21.1%

SAS +8.6%

SAS +14.3%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	17.1	15.3	15.5	91.0	102.2	100.9
season	15.6	15.9		106.8	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.2		96.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.7	15.9	18.8	17.0	17.1
SAS	14.7	15.4	14.8	16.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	14	12	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-12	14	16.7	17.1	-0.41	15.8	15.2	0.61
Rick Fox	49	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-5	0	16.7	17.5	-0.85	14.3	16.4	-2.11
Mark Madsen	2	2	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-5	0	32.0	16.7	15.29	9.0	15.4	-6.45
Isaiah Rider	29	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-7	4	18.0	16.6	1.35	15.5	15.2	0.38
Ron Harper	44	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	17.6	16.6	1.01	14.3	16.2	-1.93
Horace Grant	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	16.5	19.3	-2.85	15.3	15.2	0.16
Brian Shaw	32	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	16.4	17.4	-0.97	16.2	14.8	1.42
Kobe Bryant	84	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-8	6	16.9	19.4	-2.48	15.4	12.2	3.20
Robert Horry	40	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-5	0	17.5	16.7	0.85	16.4	14.3	2.11
Shaquille O'Neal	80	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	2	-14	17.0	17.2	-0.18	15.3	15.5	-0.22

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	38	37	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	0	10	15.6	15.1	0.57	18.1	16.3	1.85
Danny Ferry	27	26	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-2	14	15.6	15.2	0.42	19.1	16.2	2.91
Tim Duncan	82	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	5	0	15.2	16.3	-1.07	17.1	16.9	0.22
Steve Kerr	21	21	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-4	18	15.1	15.4	-0.21	16.7	17.2	-0.51
Malik Rose	37	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	2	6	15.5	15.1	0.41	17.7	16.6	1.12
David Robinson	52	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	3	4	15.0	15.8	-0.78	16.7	17.6	-0.89
Derek Anderson	68	68	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	14	-18	15.4	15.1	0.21	17.2	16.7	0.51
Sean Elliott	62	63	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	12	-14	15.2	15.6	-0.42	16.2	19.1	-2.91
Avery Johnson	51	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	10	-10	15.1	15.6	-0.57	16.3	18.1	-1.85
Samaki Walker	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	10	-10	17.4	15.1	2.31	16.1	17.1	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.76,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 76, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CHI 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.8%
IND 97, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,1,0.99,1,1	93.6%