inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 94 Excitement12.3 [13] MVPJoe Dumars (DET): +47.7%
Detroit Pistons 95 Comeback4.1 [315] LVPGrant Long (DET): -60.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Jackson0.410,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.13,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.410.020.39-0.001160%0.462-0.06367%-0.01
Eric Murdock0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Darvin Ham0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ricky Pierce0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00558%0.0200.002100%0.02
Tom Hammonds-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00450%-0.0000.004100%0.03
Dale Ellis-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.01-0.050.03-0.012145%0.073-0.082100%0.01
Ervin Johnson-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00729%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Sarunas Marciulionis-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.07,0.23,0.14,0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.01-0.160.00583%0.174-0.342100%0.01
Bryant Stith-0.220,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.22-0.04-0.19-0.00837%0.021-0.2400%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.270,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.27-0.03-0.220.021753%-0.083-0.20450%-0.03

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Dumars0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.480.480.050.42-0.001168%0.542-0.063100%0.02
Lindsey Hunter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.001359%0.1000.0010%-0.02
Kenny Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.0040%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Terry Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11-0.110.03-0.140.00475%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.22,-0.23-0.230.00-0.220.022250%-0.2300.001080%0.14
Otis Thorpe0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.07-0.25-0.071548%0.074-0.311100%0.01
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3,-0.38,-0.38,-0.49,-0.61,-0.61-0.61-0.16-0.45-0.001027%-0.422-0.19650%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.42.423.615.725.22.430.51.622.0147.6
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.11.617.8135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN -77.4%
DET +44.2%
DET +49.9%
DET +33.9%
DEN -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDETNBADENDETNBA
this game14.519.515.6100.0102.2104.4
season15.217.1102.3107.6
opponent16.215.3102.0108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN13.915.216.012.914.814.5
DET21.418.216.721.820.219.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tom Hammonds47440.21-0.710.91-0.038-91715.113.91.1919.719.40.29
Ricky Pierce13130.03-0.530.56-0.063-4715.214.40.7219.619.50.13
Sarunas Marciulionis38390.01-0.510.52-0.166-71313.415.3-1.8220.219.01.21
Darvin Ham65-0.01-0.490.470.02-10-114.714.50.1418.019.6-1.59
Antonio McDyess7474-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.442-3513.618.1-4.6020.117.13.08
Mark Jackson7271-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.493-4715.112.72.4219.220.4-1.12
Ervin Johnson6061-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.10-1110-2115.413.02.4519.120.2-1.04
Eric Murdock2222-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.26-65-1112.715.1-2.4220.419.21.12
Dale Ellis9189-0.510.01-0.51-0.541-2314.87.37.4419.520.5-1.04
Bryant Stith4747-0.590.09-0.68-0.30-109-1914.614.50.0918.520.6-2.10

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindsey Hunter68700.62-0.120.750.485-4919.120.5-1.3314.514.7-0.29
Grant Long58600.62-0.120.730.446-51119.419.7-0.3315.612.72.91
Grant Hill76750.54-0.040.590.453-2519.818.01.8414.713.90.73
Joe Dumars78790.400.100.300.46-23-519.718.61.0814.613.90.71
Kenny Smith16160.300.200.110.242-1318.119.8-1.6714.914.50.41
Michael Curry17170.160.34-0.190.1601-117.020.1-3.0714.714.50.21
Terry Mills34340.100.40-0.290.19-34-719.919.30.5512.715.6-2.91
Don Reid1516-0.040.54-0.590.04-34-717.519.9-2.3513.614.7-1.17
Otis Thorpe7777-0.070.57-0.64-0.132-1320.116.43.7114.913.11.80
Stacey Augmon2626-0.130.63-0.760.02-56-1120.519.11.3813.315.0-1.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 93, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.42,189.6%
LAC 120, MEM 1250.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.84,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.22,0.42,189.2%
ATL 102, BOS 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,189.0%