inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 79 Excitement4.3 [922] MVPDanny Ferry (CLE): +22.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers 108 Comeback1.6 [803] LVPErvin Johnson (DEN): -11.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dale Ellis0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.011275%0.133-0.0700%0.00
Tom Hammonds0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.02475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01844%0.0000.002100%0.01
Darvin Ham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01267%0.0000.002100%0.00
LaSalle Thompson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff McInnis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.043100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ricky Pierce-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03440%-0.012-0.022100%0.00
Eric Murdock-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.02275%-0.003-0.0700%0.00
Mark Jackson-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.031035%0.003-0.0900%0.00
Bryant Stith-0.100,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.03945%0.014-0.114100%0.02
Ervin Johnson-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.01865%0.056-0.16475%-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.190.040.011191%0.2300.0000%0.00
Bobby Phills0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.020.02787%0.132-0.06250%-0.01
Terrell Brandon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.03-0.00-0.031654%0.081-0.013100%0.01
Donny Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Geary0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carl Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Mills0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00845%-0.0200.00450%-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.031046%-0.001-0.02667%0.01
Antonio Lang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.000.02460%-0.001-0.032100%0.00
Mark West0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.010.05778%0.024-0.08475%0.00
Tyrone Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.01933%-0.042-0.05333%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.22.325.115.525.62.426.5117.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +18.9%
CLE +0.1%
DEN -2.0%
CLE +30.5%
CLE +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCLENBADENCLENBA
this game14.417.415.686.8120.0104.4
season15.217.8102.3102.1
opponent16.115.3100.0108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.314.113.714.714.4
CLE18.217.217.716.717.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff McInnis1415-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-202512.414.8-2.3517.117.5-0.43
Darvin Ham1516-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-171913.514.6-1.1416.517.6-1.12
LaSalle Thompson89-0.03-0.470.45-0.299-243310.114.8-4.7117.417.40.02
Bryant Stith5757-0.05-0.450.390.18-8-7-115.312.92.4517.417.5-0.19
Antonio McDyess3941-0.17-0.330.170.10-9-6-314.914.00.9318.816.32.54
Ricky Pierce1820-0.17-0.330.160.18-12-3-915.314.21.0716.617.7-1.06
Mark Jackson6260-0.21-0.290.08-0.18-1-141314.314.7-0.4518.016.21.88
Eric Murdock2222-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.14-5-10514.414.4-0.0716.817.6-0.80
Dale Ellis6462-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.17-4-11714.115.1-0.9318.115.82.32
Tom Hammonds5249-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.01-10-5-514.214.8-0.6217.217.7-0.57
Ervin Johnson6865-0.49-0.01-0.480.15-227-2915.012.62.4217.018.6-1.63

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Lang45450.73-0.230.970.0025-103516.418.4-2.0014.014.8-0.83
Bob Sura47460.63-0.130.76-0.3734-195316.618.3-1.7314.114.7-0.62
Danny Ferry60610.56-0.060.63-0.4334-195316.120.0-3.8214.614.00.57
Tyrone Hill55550.380.120.260.1296317.417.40.0414.913.61.33
Vitaly Potapenko44440.180.32-0.13-0.0587118.116.81.3113.914.9-0.94
Reggie Geary17160.170.33-0.160.32-520-2517.917.30.5712.614.8-2.18
Bobby Phills55580.160.34-0.170.13114-1318.116.31.8114.514.30.23
Terrell Brandon54550.040.46-0.43-0.351321116.918.2-1.2415.812.33.49
Donny Marshall770.000.50-0.500.38-1328-4120.117.22.959.014.9-5.87
Carl Thomas770.000.50-0.500.38-1328-4120.117.22.959.014.9-5.87
Mark West1415-0.130.63-0.750.11-823-3119.417.12.2915.714.21.50
Chris Mills4546-0.230.73-0.970.06-1025-3518.416.42.0014.814.00.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 96, POR 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,194.4%
LAL 77, UTA 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.2%
IND 80, POR 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.1%