NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	3.7 [1029]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +18.4%
Detroit Pistons	80		Comeback	1.3 [492]		LVP	Otis Thorpe (DET): -14.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	6	92%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	89%	0.10	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Scottie Pippen	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.01	0.04	12	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	15	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.03	0.03	12	88%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	19	48%	0.06	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	7	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	992.1	2.6	26.2	16.7	22.7	2.4	21.4	1084.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +25.2%

CHI +0.6%

CHI +14.8%

CHI +8.1%

CHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	18.5	15.6	118.1	97.6	104.4
season	15.5	17.1		110.5	107.6
opponent	16.2	16.1		102.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.5	16.1	19.8	18.1	16.4
DET	18.3	19.9	20.2	16.1	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	67	66	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.18	25	-7	32	16.4	16.1	0.31	19.7	14.0	5.65
Scottie Pippen	69	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.16	20	-2	22	16.9	13.6	3.28	19.7	13.1	6.61
Michael Jordan	63	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	2	14	16.0	17.5	-1.55	19.2	16.9	2.30
Steve Kerr	50	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	6	6	17.8	14.2	3.59	18.1	19.1	-1.02
Toni Kukoc	53	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	7	4	15.1	18.6	-3.54	18.1	19.4	-1.39
Robert Parish	11	11	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	10	-2	23.9	15.2	8.69	19.1	18.5	0.63
Luc Longley	38	37	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	14	-10	13.6	18.7	-5.11	18.9	18.2	0.72
Ron Harper	30	31	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	17	-16	16.0	16.6	-0.64	19.6	17.9	1.76
Jud Buechler	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	17	-16	16.8	16.2	0.59	15.5	19.4	-3.91
Dickey Simpkins	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	16.6	16.3	0.28	10.8	19.5	-8.73
Randy Brown	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	16.6	16.3	0.28	10.8	19.5	-8.73

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Smith	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-22	26	10.8	19.5	-8.73	16.6	16.3	0.28
Rick Mahorn	21	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-16	14	19.9	18.1	1.82	13.2	17.3	-4.17
Theo Ratliff	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-20	22	14.2	19.4	-5.23	19.6	15.7	3.93
Michael Curry	34	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-11	4	17.9	19.0	-1.04	17.1	15.9	1.18
Terry Mills	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	-6	-6	19.4	18.2	1.23	16.3	16.4	-0.16
Stacey Augmon	52	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-15	12	18.0	19.5	-1.50	15.0	18.7	-3.78
Grant Long	38	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-10	2	19.7	17.6	2.12	17.3	15.4	1.91
Otis Thorpe	42	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-5	-8	18.9	18.2	0.63	17.3	15.4	1.83
Joe Dumars	56	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.04	-16	-2	-14	19.8	15.8	3.96	15.9	17.3	-1.42
Grant Hill	64	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-2	-14	18.8	17.6	1.27	16.5	15.9	0.62
Lindsey Hunter	57	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	1	-20	18.3	19.1	-0.76	16.4	16.2	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, DAL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	95.7%
MIL 112, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
UTA 110, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%