NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	86		Excitement	6.1 [563]		MVP	Vinny Del Negro (SAS): +18.6%
Washington Bullets	96		Comeback	2.5 [598]		LVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): -21.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	7	79%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.04	-0.04	4	37%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.05
Charles Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	9	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	51%	0.02	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.04
Dominique Wilkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Carl Herrera	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	7	22%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Avery Johnson	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	15	27%	-0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	81%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	7	47%	0.08	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	11	57%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	19	52%	0.03	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	19	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.6	23.0	14.8	26.0	1.8	33.2	127.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.2%

SAS -0.9%

WAS +12.9%

WAS +6.3%

SAS -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	WAS	NBA	SAS	WAS	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.6	92.5	103.2	104.4
season	16.8	14.8		100.8	104.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		103.3	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.5	16.0	20.2	16.2	16.6
WAS	13.7	14.0	14.1	15.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	41	39	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-15	20	16.8	16.4	0.42	13.4	15.1	-1.66
Monty Williams	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-9	8	9.7	17.0	-7.38	9.0	14.8	-5.77
Dominique Wilkins	46	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-13	16	16.1	17.0	-0.96	14.6	14.2	0.43
Charles Smith	52	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-2	-6	17.5	15.4	2.07	14.5	14.3	0.20
Avery Johnson	68	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-6	2	16.6	16.6	0.01	15.0	12.7	2.35
Carl Herrera	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-5	0	16.2	16.8	-0.58	14.1	14.6	-0.57
Cory Alexander	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	16.6	16.6	-0.01	12.7	15.0	-2.35
Greg Anderson	53	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	2	-14	17.0	16.0	1.00	15.1	13.5	1.58
Sean Elliott	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	-1	-8	16.6	16.5	0.13	14.4	14.1	0.37
Vernon Maxwell	53	55	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.21	-13	3	-16	16.5	16.7	-0.18	14.9	13.7	1.25

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	79	78	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.12	17	-7	24	14.3	14.8	-0.46	16.3	17.7	-1.39
Jaren Jackson	45	43	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	0	10	14.5	14.3	0.26	18.3	15.1	3.18
Tracy Murray	45	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	7	-4	14.8	14.1	0.69	16.0	17.1	-1.06
Chris Whitney	25	25	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	6	-2	14.2	14.5	-0.33	18.8	15.7	3.10
Harvey Grant	47	49	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	1	8	14.3	14.5	-0.29	17.0	16.1	0.82
Ben Wallace	26	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	9	-8	13.8	14.6	-0.87	18.1	16.0	2.09
Juwan Howard	80	81	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	6	-2	14.6	13.1	1.54	16.4	17.8	-1.45
Rod Strickland	69	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	6	-2	14.3	14.5	-0.19	15.8	18.7	-2.88
Calbert Cheaney	49	51	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	12	-14	14.4	14.4	-0.06	15.0	18.5	-3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.95,0.94,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.94,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
OKC 119, NOP 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	93.8%
PHI 83, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%