NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	107		Excitement	1.4 [58]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +15.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	126		Comeback	1.4 [83]		LVP	Matas Buzelis (CHI): -11.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caleb Wilson	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.04	0.05	17	65%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	13	49%	0.03	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.03
Noa Essengue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Leonard Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Tobe Awaka	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Sellers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Josh Giddey	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	15	41%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Matas Buzelis	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.00	15	72%	0.22	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.03	0.07	15	74%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.01	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	12	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	11	26%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Labaron Philon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	13	48%	0.07	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.2	27.4	15.3	30.5	2.3	35.4	138.5
league avg	26.9	1.3	30.1	12.9	30.9	1.6	33.3	137.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +40.0%

PHI +3.8%

PHI +7.0%

PHI +0.4%

CHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	12.6	15.6	14.1	104.9	123.5	110.5
season	12.8	14.6		103.8	108.4
opponent	13.8	14.0		104.0	121.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	12.5	11.0	12.9	12.6
PHI	15.5	14.6	15.3	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobe Awaka	25	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-11	3	12.9	12.5	0.36	17.3	15.1	2.17
Jaylin Sellers	25	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-11	3	12.9	12.5	0.36	17.3	15.1	2.17
Jordan Hawkins	25	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-11	3	12.9	12.5	0.36	17.3	15.1	2.17
Matas Buzelis	63	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-14	9	11.9	13.8	-1.92	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Noa Essengue	69	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-10	1	11.9	14.1	-2.24	16.1	14.6	1.52
Isaac Okoro	67	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-13	7	12.4	13.0	-0.64	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Zach Collins	57	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-10	1	12.9	12.3	0.57	15.3	16.0	-0.68
Buddy Hield	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	-6	-7	12.4	12.9	-0.49	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Jalen Smith	74	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	-3	-13	12.6	12.7	-0.15	15.5	16.0	-0.56
Tre Jones	93	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	-1	-17	12.6	12.8	-0.19	15.8	14.2	1.58
Norman Powell	99	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	1	-21	12.6	14.3	-1.78	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Leonard Miller	58	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	-3	-13	12.6	12.6	-0.05	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Josh Giddey	84	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.19	-24	5	-29	13.2	9.9	3.30	15.4	16.6	-1.15
Caleb Wilson	85	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.16	-23	4	-27	12.4	13.4	-0.96	15.6	15.7	-0.15

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	84	85	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.19	25	-6	31	15.6	15.8	-0.25	12.7	11.9	0.80
VJ Edgecombe	93	95	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.14	23	-4	27	15.6	15.8	-0.16	12.3	16.4	-4.10
Dean Wade	97	98	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	-2	23	15.7	14.6	1.08	12.7	11.0	1.67
Tyrese Maxey	98	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-1	21	15.6	15.7	-0.13	12.6	14.3	-1.78
Adem Bona	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	6	7	15.9	15.0	0.90	12.2	13.7	-1.51
Joel Embiid	65	63	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.02	16	3	13	15.0	16.8	-1.77	12.8	12.4	0.40
Anfernee Simons	86	86	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	3	13	16.0	13.7	2.30	12.7	12.2	0.50
Jaylen Brown	83	84	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	4	11	15.9	14.3	1.61	12.6	12.5	0.13
Justin Edwards	23	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	11	-3	17.3	15.1	2.17	12.9	12.5	0.36
Labaron Philon Jr.	23	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	11	-3	17.3	15.1	2.17	12.9	12.5	0.36
Jabari Walker	23	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	11	-3	17.3	15.1	2.17	12.9	12.5	0.36
Rayan Rupert	23	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	11	-3	17.3	15.1	2.17	12.9	12.5	0.36
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	27	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	27	-35	16.5	15.3	1.16	11.3	13.1	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.63,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, MIN 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 92, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
CHI 92, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%