NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	6.6 [429]		MVP	Precious Achiuwa (SAC): +23.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Comeback	2.3 [743]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (SAC): -22.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Precious Achiuwa	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.09	0.03	7	94%	0.24	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dennis Schr�der	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.10	-0.04	11	63%	0.23	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.04	-0.03	9	64%	0.16	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
DeMar DeRozan	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	15	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.04	0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Nique Clifford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maxime Raynaud	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Keegan Murray	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	11	38%	-0.13	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.23	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	13	31%	-0.13	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bones Hyland	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.11	0.01	10	72%	0.25	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	12	77%	0.23	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	21	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	18	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	19	48%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.08
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	27.4	13.2	32.0	1.4	29.0	130.7
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +20.2%

MIN +3.6%

MIN +25.8%

MIN +0.1%

MIN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.2	14.2	101.0	115.8	113.4
season	14.3	13.9		108.6	114.9
opponent	14.1	14.1		111.8	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.6	13.1	14.5	16.6	14.1
MIN	16.2	13.1	12.7	15.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-11	8	12.5	15.3	-2.77	14.5	14.0	0.51
Nique Clifford	45	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	1	-16	12.9	15.1	-2.22	12.9	15.2	-2.30
Malik Monk	97	96	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	0	-14	14.1	14.0	0.13	14.2	14.2	0.05
Keegan Murray	102	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	0	-14	14.1	0.0	14.13	14.2	0.0	14.25
Precious Achiuwa	102	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	0	-14	14.1	0.0	14.13	14.2	0.0	14.25
Dennis Schr�der	82	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.06	-17	3	-20	14.7	11.8	2.83	14.1	14.8	-0.75
Maxime Raynaud	62	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.03	-19	5	-24	13.9	14.4	-0.53	14.1	14.4	-0.28
DeMar DeRozan	96	94	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.07	-18	4	-22	14.1	14.5	-0.40	14.1	16.4	-2.34
Russell Westbrook	71	68	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.06	-22	8	-30	14.2	14.0	0.23	14.1	14.5	-0.31

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	95	97	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-4	22	14.2	15.0	-0.80	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Julius Randle	100	101	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-2	18	14.4	3.0	11.36	14.0	22.0	-7.95
Bones Hyland	85	88	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-2	18	14.3	13.7	0.59	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Donte DiVincenzo	83	85	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-1	16	14.3	13.8	0.57	14.1	14.2	-0.13
Naz Reid	101	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	0	14	14.2	0.0	14.25	14.1	0.0	14.13
Rudy Gobert	47	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	0	14	13.6	14.9	-1.30	12.8	15.3	-2.52
Jaylen Clark	67	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	5	4	13.9	15.0	-1.09	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Rob Dillingham	64	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	8	-2	13.7	15.1	-1.36	13.3	15.5	-2.23
Terrence Shannon Jr.	62	62	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	11	-8	13.6	15.2	-1.60	13.3	15.5	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.57,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	92.6%
IND 109, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	92.2%
UTA 86, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.1%