NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	8.3 [96]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +19.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	115		Comeback	2.6 [197]		LVP	Justin Edwards (PHI): -15.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jay Huff	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	12	52%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.00	-0.00	11	68%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	18	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	15	51%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Ethan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.02	10	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Johnny Furphy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	39%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	-0.01	23	61%	0.28	3	-0.08	18	72%	-0.03
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.02	0.03	10	73%	0.14	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.04
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.08	-0.05	9	50%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	8	56%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	17	62%	0.21	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	5	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.4	29.8	0.0	33.9	0.0	35.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.4%

PHI +16.5%

PHI +19.0%

IND -14.1%

IND -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.1	14.1	105.0	117.3	113.7
season	14.1	14.7		106.8	113.7
opponent	13.6	14.1		112.0	115.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	15.2	14.0	15.3	14.9
PHI	11.4	12.5	15.4	18.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	70	71	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.07	6	-16	22	14.8	15.0	-0.20	14.2	13.9	0.35
Garrison Mathews	71	73	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.02	9	-19	28	14.8	15.1	-0.35	14.6	12.7	1.96
Tony Bradley	34	35	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.02	6	-16	22	14.8	14.9	-0.15	16.6	12.8	3.82
Jarace Walker	80	80	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-10	10	14.6	15.8	-1.20	14.2	13.8	0.38
Isaiah Jackson	62	64	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-11	12	14.6	15.4	-0.81	13.5	15.4	-1.90
Ethan Thompson	78	79	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-9	8	15.1	14.3	0.79	14.5	12.8	1.68
Johnny Furphy	18	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-3	-4	15.6	14.7	0.81	11.2	14.8	-3.65
Pascal Siakam	100	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	14.9	0.0	14.89	14.1	0.0	14.14
Bennedict Mathurin	90	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	1	-12	14.9	15.2	-0.34	14.5	11.9	2.54
Andrew Nembhard	90	88	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	6	-22	14.8	15.7	-0.90	14.5	11.2	3.28
Jay Huff	75	73	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.20	-20	10	-30	15.4	13.4	2.04	14.5	13.2	1.32

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominick Barlow	76	78	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.17	21	-11	32	14.3	13.6	0.71	15.2	13.8	1.43
Quentin Grimes	77	80	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.21	13	-3	16	14.8	11.8	3.03	15.0	14.6	0.36
Joel Embiid	84	88	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	-2	14	14.4	12.5	1.92	14.7	16.2	-1.55
VJ Edgecombe	98	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	14.1	0.0	14.14	14.9	0.0	14.89
Paul George	78	80	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-1	12	14.5	12.6	1.94	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Jabari Walker	48	47	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	8	-6	13.7	14.5	-0.77	15.3	14.5	0.81
Justin Edwards	91	90	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	10	-10	14.0	16.6	-2.62	14.9	14.6	0.32
Jared McCain	56	56	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	14	-18	13.4	15.1	-1.62	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Andre Drummond	71	70	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	16	-22	14.2	13.9	0.35	14.8	15.0	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.6,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.71,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 118, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	93.9%
DET 92, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.84,0.92,1	93.6%
NYK 99, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.84,0.94,0.95,1	92.4%