NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	106		Excitement	1.3 [951]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +13.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	126		Comeback	1.7 [1105]		LVP	Ousmane Dieng (MIL): -12.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jericho Sims	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	9	79%	0.08	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Cormac Ryan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	20	51%	0.10	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
AJ Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.03	16	59%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alex Antetokounmpo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	14	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Andre Jackson Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.03
Ousmane Dieng	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	12	41%	0.02	6	-0.14	3	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	13	72%	0.19	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	13	65%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	69%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	87%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	11	41%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	87%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	-0.01	0.09	13	71%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
MarJon Beauchamp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyrese Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	0.1	31.4	0.0	26.1	0.0	28.3	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.1%

MIL -1.3%

PHI +4.6%

PHI +7.9%

MIL -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	12.9	14.2	101.9	121.2	113.4
season	14.7	14.5		110.9	112.7
opponent	14.1	14.3		113.7	117.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.3	14.0	17.6	15.5	14.8
PHI	14.1	14.2	12.4	10.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Antetokounmpo	27	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-18	16	15.5	14.5	0.95	10.8	13.6	-2.85
Ousmane Dieng	100	101	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-4	-12	14.8	13.2	1.59	12.8	15.7	-2.88
Taurean Prince	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.14	-20	0	-20	14.9	14.4	0.47	13.1	12.0	1.17
Cormac Ryan	99	98	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.07	-19	-1	-18	15.0	11.2	3.76	12.8	13.2	-0.32
Andre Jackson Jr.	104	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	0	-20	14.8	0.0	14.78	12.9	0.0	12.87
AJ Green	94	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.26	-26	6	-32	14.8	14.8	-0.02	13.1	10.5	2.62
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	100	101	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.13	-24	4	-28	15.0	10.0	4.97	12.9	13.0	-0.14
Jericho Sims	75	76	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	0.20	-31	11	-42	15.6	12.7	2.90	12.8	12.9	-0.09

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominick Barlow	77	77	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.26	33	-13	46	13.2	12.0	1.22	15.4	13.0	2.35
Quentin Grimes	93	92	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.21	31	-11	42	13.1	10.8	2.29	15.0	13.2	1.73
Justin Edwards	82	80	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.27	32	-12	44	13.1	12.0	1.10	15.2	13.4	1.77
Tyrese Maxey	65	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.09	26	-6	32	13.6	11.6	2.00	15.0	14.5	0.51
Andre Drummond	57	58	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.10	26	-6	32	13.6	12.0	1.66	14.7	14.9	-0.16
VJ Edgecombe	73	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.25	27	-7	34	13.1	12.3	0.82	15.2	13.7	1.56
Kelly Oubre Jr.	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	9	2	13.6	11.6	2.01	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Paul George	63	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	15	-10	13.5	11.9	1.67	14.6	15.1	-0.56
Adem Bona	45	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.22	11	9	2	12.9	12.8	0.04	15.1	14.6	0.50
Kyle Lowry	28	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	18	-16	10.8	13.6	-2.85	15.5	14.5	0.95
Dalen Terry	28	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	18	-16	10.8	13.6	-2.85	15.5	14.5	0.95
MarJon Beauchamp	28	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	18	-16	10.8	13.6	-2.85	15.5	14.5	0.95
Tyrese Martin	24	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	15	-10	11.6	13.2	-1.67	15.3	14.6	0.73
Trendon Watford	53	53	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	25	-30	12.4	13.3	-0.92	14.8	14.8	-0.05
Jabari Walker	49	49	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.07	-2	22	-24	12.9	12.8	0.14	14.6	14.9	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.8,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 76, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAL 100, PHX 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
IND 72, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%