NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	119		Excitement	1.4 [804]		MVP	Tre Jones (CHI): +22.5%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	1.4 [948]		LVP	Will Riley (WAS): -14.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.24	0.05	0.06	14	77%	0.23	0	0.00	12	100%	0.04
Leonard Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.19	0.02	0.04	14	87%	0.23	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.04	-0.04	21	61%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.03	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Yuki Kawamura	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	6	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Lachlan Olbrich	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.19	-0.02	-0.10	10	25%	-0.04	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mac McClung	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	7	14%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sharife Cooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	7	58%	0.04	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jamir Watkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	12	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Julian Reese	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	14	46%	0.02	5	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
Leaky Black	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	0.03	14	50%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Will Riley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.05	0.05	22	45%	-0.08	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	0.0	29.7	0.0	28.3	0.0	32.0	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +30.5%

CHI +6.1%

CHI +0.6%

CHI +5.8%

CHI +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	12.2	14.5	14.2	112.3	99.1	113.4
season	13.5	13.9		111.4	108.7
opponent	13.9	14.2		120.6	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.8	14.3	9.3	13.0	12.2
WAS	14.7	15.0	14.5	13.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	88	89	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-3	17	12.1	12.9	-0.78	14.5	14.2	0.28
Tre Jones	91	95	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	-5	21	11.8	15.0	-3.21	14.8	12.4	2.43
Rob Dillingham	98	101	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	0	11	12.2	13.4	-1.22	14.3	17.1	-2.86
Mac McClung	74	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	0	11	11.7	13.4	-1.66	14.7	14.0	0.72
Patrick Williams	90	91	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	3	5	12.3	11.8	0.51	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Leonard Miller	96	97	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.17	5	6	-1	12.3	11.3	1.04	14.8	11.7	3.06
Yuki Kawamura	98	101	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	4	3	12.2	12.6	-0.41	14.7	12.0	2.67
Guerschon Yabusele	35	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	3	5	12.2	12.3	-0.02	15.7	13.8	1.90
Lachlan Olbrich	84	86	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	8	-5	12.5	11.2	1.28	14.7	13.6	1.16

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Champagnie	66	65	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-13	15	14.3	14.8	-0.52	13.0	11.0	2.03
Sharife Cooper	61	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-13	15	14.1	15.0	-0.93	13.0	11.2	1.85
Bub Carrington	63	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-8	5	15.5	13.1	2.44	12.7	11.6	1.12
Anthony Gill	109	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.5	0.0	14.48	12.2	0.0	12.25
Jamir Watkins	101	98	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.3	17.1	-2.86	12.2	13.4	-1.22
Leaky Black	102	100	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.7	11.4	3.26	12.2	13.0	-0.80
Julian Reese	102	100	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	0	-11	14.7	11.4	3.26	12.2	13.0	-0.80
Will Riley	106	103	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	0	-11	14.5	12.3	2.20	12.2	13.7	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.45,0.44,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 112, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
DEN 93, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
BOS 85, TOR 69	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%