NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	85		Excitement	4.4 [912]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): +7.8%
Toronto Raptors	69		Comeback	1.0 [466]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -12.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.03	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Milt Palacio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	8	54%	-0.03	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	20	39%	-0.04	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	16	26%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	13	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	2	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	5	45%	-0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	21	35%	-0.07	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.6	29.2	18.4	24.9	1.8	29.6	132.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +49.2%

BOS +5.4%

TOR -0.9%

TOR -3.6%

TOR -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	17.1	17.0	15.6	101.2	81.2	102.3
season	15.0	16.2		100.9	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		100.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	19.1	16.1	18.4	17.1
TOR	14.9	16.0	19.0	18.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	65	65	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.07	23	-7	30	16.1	20.3	-4.19	17.8	14.3	3.55
Tony Battie	43	42	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	5	6	15.1	19.1	-4.01	16.3	17.7	-1.48
Paul Pierce	50	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.15	20	-4	24	17.7	16.1	1.55	18.9	14.2	4.73
Joe Johnson	39	43	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	7	2	16.5	17.6	-1.04	16.5	17.5	-1.01
Eric Williams	30	31	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	4	8	15.8	17.8	-1.93	16.6	17.2	-0.58
Erick Strickland	46	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	15	-14	17.2	16.9	0.23	16.7	17.3	-0.64
Antoine Walker	66	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	5	6	17.1	16.9	0.23	17.2	16.3	0.90
Vitaly Potapenko	51	52	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	13	-10	19.0	14.1	4.86	16.7	17.4	-0.67
Kedrick Brown	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	19	-22	17.6	17.0	0.65	15.3	17.2	-1.94
Milt Palacio	19	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	23	-30	20.3	16.1	4.19	14.3	17.8	-3.55

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	32	32	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.16	9	-25	34	17.0	17.0	-0.02	19.3	15.7	3.62
Carlos Arroyo	21	22	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-20	24	19.8	16.1	3.65	15.7	17.5	-1.82
Eric Montross	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	14.7	17.2	-2.52	21.7	16.7	4.95
Dell Curry	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-17	18	15.4	17.8	-2.41	18.7	16.3	2.41
Jerome Williams	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-13	10	16.0	17.5	-1.54	18.0	16.6	1.31
Keon Clark	31	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	-5	-6	17.8	16.5	1.30	18.3	16.4	1.86
Hakeem Olajuwon	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-8	0	17.0	17.1	-0.13	16.3	18.2	-1.96
Antonio Davis	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-3	-10	17.4	16.3	1.01	16.2	18.7	-2.52
Vince Carter	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.04	-16	0	-16	17.7	12.7	4.96	16.0	23.4	-7.40
Alvin Williams	64	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.08	-20	4	-24	16.1	19.8	-3.65	17.5	15.7	1.82
Morris Peterson	38	36	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.24	-26	10	-36	16.8	17.1	-0.31	15.9	17.9	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 97, MEM 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%
OKC 104, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
LAC 105, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%