inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 112 Excitement1.4 [919] MVPTobias Harris (DET): +19.2%
Charlotte Hornets 89 Comeback1.6 [494] LVPFrank Kaminsky (CHA): -14.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0.190,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.030.031289%0.212-0.023100%0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.130,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.02-0.041460%0.161-0.032100%0.01
Ish Smith0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.01-0.011062%0.1000.001100%0.00
Marcus Morris0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.001850%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00456%0.0300.0010%-0.00
Michael Gbinije0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boban Marjanovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01570%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02623%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00750%0.022-0.052100%0.00
Stanley Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.021100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jon Leuer-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001248%-0.002-0.041100%0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.09-0.01-0.021668%0.153-0.06250%-0.02
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.011050%0.0300.002100%0.01
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02580%0.063-0.0400%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.01756%0.0100.004100%0.02
Aaron Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Treveon Graham00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.040100%0.0000.004100%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00257%-0.0000.00367%-0.01
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01458%0.001-0.01475%-0.01
Cody Zeller0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.00667%0.062-0.0700%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.051136%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00533%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.16-0.05-0.07119%-0.1410.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.01.732.215.024.22.628.5126.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +37.7%
DET +4.1%
DET +10.1%
CHA -2.2%
DET +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHANBADETCHANBA
this game15.014.714.8115.591.8107.7
season15.015.1105.0107.9
opponent14.815.1107.9106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.415.213.416.015.0
CHA14.614.215.914.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tobias Harris70710.56-0.060.62-0.1524-12515.015.1-0.1015.113.71.36
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope63640.56-0.060.61-0.1825-22714.715.5-0.8215.213.81.37
Aron Baynes44460.480.020.46-0.021761114.815.2-0.4214.814.60.17
Ish Smith51510.350.150.21-0.141761114.415.7-1.2815.414.01.40
Marcus Morris76730.230.27-0.03-0.18149515.314.01.2814.415.7-1.30
Jon Leuer66680.230.27-0.05-0.18149514.615.9-1.3714.315.6-1.28
Beno Udrih41400.150.35-0.21-0.00518-1315.714.51.1413.615.5-1.86
Darrun Hilliard18190.120.38-0.25-0.11815-715.814.81.0214.114.8-0.79
Andre Drummond27250.000.50-0.49-0.05221-1915.614.80.8215.414.41.01
Michael Gbinije440.000.50-0.500.03-124-2515.515.00.5214.714.70.06
Boban Marjanovic440.000.50-0.500.03-124-2515.515.00.5214.714.70.06
Stanley Johnson2120-0.180.68-0.860.08-932-4115.314.90.4314.314.8-0.49

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Harrison880.00-0.500.500.09-3-201714.914.70.2014.715.0-0.27
Treveon Graham880.00-0.500.500.09-3-201714.914.70.2014.715.0-0.27
Brian Roberts880.00-0.500.500.09-3-201714.914.70.2014.715.0-0.27
Roy Hibbert2626-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-201714.614.7-0.1614.315.3-0.95
Ramon Sessions2727-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-181312.915.4-2.4515.414.90.51
Frank Kaminsky5355-0.20-0.300.100.00-7-16915.314.01.3514.715.3-0.59
Nicolas Batum6163-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-11-114.614.8-0.2315.414.21.18
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist6565-0.27-0.23-0.030.11-13-10-314.714.60.1015.314.31.03
Cody Zeller5756-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-15714.914.40.4515.414.50.84
Spencer Hawes3433-0.29-0.21-0.080.15-15-8-714.015.1-1.1114.715.2-0.51
Jeremy Lamb2626-0.31-0.19-0.110.02-11-12114.314.8-0.4714.315.2-0.89
Marco Belinelli5048-0.31-0.19-0.120.19-17-6-1114.614.8-0.2714.915.1-0.16
Kemba Walker6262-0.39-0.11-0.290.05-15-8-715.413.42.0614.915.2-0.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 120, HOU 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
DEN 93, CLE 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,094.5%
TOR 98, ORL 930.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.01,094.5%