inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 114 Excitement3.9 [910] MVPBrandon Ingram (TOR): +23.4%
Toronto Raptors 128 Comeback1.7 [726] LVPNorman Powell (MIA): -3.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0.120,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.150.020.041473%0.131-0.01580%0.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.01983%0.152-0.0500%0.00
Tyler Herro0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.021262%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Keshad Johnson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kel'el Ware0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.02750%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Myron Gardner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vladislav Goldin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jahmir Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trevor Keels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Davion Mitchell-0.000,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01968%0.063-0.06425%-0.01
Pelle Larsson-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.010.021050%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew Wiggins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01642%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Norman Powell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01547%0.012-0.05560%-0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.230.030.022367%0.231-0.001191%0.04
RJ Barrett0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.02-0.041555%0.1400.001090%0.04
Collin Murray-Boyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.160.020.067100%0.131-0.023100%0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.02-0.02558%0.0800.00250%-0.00
Immanuel Quickley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.011055%0.0500.0000%0.00
Scottie Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.11-0.000.07681%0.0300.00475%-0.00
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.03667%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.02475%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jonathan Mogbo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Alijah Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.J. Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0000.0020%0.00
Jamison Battle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Gradey Dick00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.000.03642%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.20.335.10.031.70.031.40.0
league avg26.41.929.114.229.72.232.7136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +4.3%
TOR +18.1%
TOR +4.3%
TOR +22.9%
TOR +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIATORNBAMIATORNBA
this game14.315.814.2120.0133.3113.7
season12.913.9114.6113.6
opponent14.714.5111.0112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.413.615.513.914.3
TOR16.115.214.517.415.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Wiggins46480.06-0.560.620.18-4-10615.113.61.5416.714.91.83
Kasparas Jaku?ionis4950-0.05-0.450.40-0.081-151614.713.90.8215.715.9-0.19
Myron Gardner2323-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-121013.914.5-0.5617.415.32.13
Vladislav Goldin2323-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-121013.914.5-0.5617.415.32.13
Jahmir Young2323-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-121013.914.5-0.5617.415.32.13
Trevor Keels2323-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-121013.914.5-0.5617.415.32.13
Keshad Johnson3939-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-10613.714.7-1.0117.014.92.03
Tyler Herro6971-0.20-0.300.100.27-162-1814.613.51.1016.015.01.04
Pelle Larsson7576-0.29-0.21-0.070.30-206-2614.613.41.1215.915.10.78
Davion Mitchell8585-0.41-0.09-0.320.24-228-3014.513.01.4915.915.00.87
Kel'el Ware7979-0.50-0.00-0.500.15-228-3014.812.22.5815.118.8-3.71
Norman Powell7979-0.50-0.00-0.500.15-228-3014.812.22.5815.118.8-3.71
Jaime Jaquez Jr.7979-0.50-0.00-0.500.15-228-3014.812.22.5815.118.8-3.71
Bam Adebayo8887-0.500.00-0.500.23-2511-3614.611.43.1415.914.90.97

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Ingram89890.500.000.50-0.2325-113615.716.1-0.4014.511.53.03
Sandro Mamukelashvili89890.490.010.47-0.2525-113615.716.1-0.4014.511.53.03
RJ Barrett86870.470.030.44-0.2625-113615.815.50.3014.512.42.14
Immanuel Quickley79780.470.030.44-0.1521-72815.516.9-1.3514.712.52.27
Jamal Shead83830.380.120.26-0.3023-93216.014.21.7814.314.5-0.19
Collin Murray-Boyles80800.340.160.18-0.2520-62616.014.71.2314.712.52.22
Jakob Poeltl44440.220.28-0.06-0.191401416.215.40.8015.713.22.51
Scottie Barnes60590.220.28-0.07-0.0286216.215.11.1415.113.11.97
Ja'Kobe Walter69700.150.35-0.20-0.0886216.115.01.1214.813.01.81
Jonathan Mogbo23230.080.42-0.340.02212-1017.415.32.1313.914.5-0.56
Alijah Martin23230.080.42-0.340.02212-1017.415.32.1313.914.5-0.56
A.J. Lawson23230.080.42-0.340.02212-1017.415.32.1313.914.5-0.56
Jamison Battle23230.080.42-0.340.02212-1017.415.32.1313.914.5-0.56
Gradey Dick16170.080.42-0.34-0.301311217.915.32.6014.814.20.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 106, LAC 1320.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
IND 99, CHI 1250.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
LAC 87, CHH 1150.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.78,0.71,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.0%