inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 99 Excitement4.1 [982] MVPDeMar DeRozan (CHI): +11.8%
Chicago Bulls 125 Comeback1.5 [469] LVPAaron Nesmith (IND): -13.0%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
T.J. McConnell0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.02960%0.061-0.012100%0.01
Andrew Nembhard0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.10-0.010.051269%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Obi Toppin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.012100%0.061-0.021100%0.01
Pascal Siakam0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.01756%0.041-0.011182%0.02
Myles Turner0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.011055%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Doug McDermott0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kendall Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02175%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Jalen Smith-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01550%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Isaiah Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.053100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Ben Sheppard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton-0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.051539%0.012-0.03367%-0.01
Jarace Walker-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.0320%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Nesmith-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.020.031127%-0.121-0.0100%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.020.041859%0.1200.001080%0.01
Ayo Dosunmu0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.01-0.001177%0.132-0.0300%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.01867%0.111-0.02580%0.01
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.001060%0.0700.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.010.032051%0.0300.003100%0.01
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.02570%0.0200.0000%0.00
Javonte Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00383%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Jevon Carter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Onuralp Bitim0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Taylor00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dalen Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.0210%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Coby White0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.010.072143%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.31.829.314.729.21.829.3131.5
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +31.1%
IND -1.8%
CHI +15.8%
CHI +9.2%
IND -4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDCHINBAINDCHINBA
this game14.515.314.5103.1128.9113.9
season13.814.5120.0113.4
opponent15.014.7115.1117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.916.611.815.114.5
CHI14.515.416.314.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendall Brown1011-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-232015.014.50.5214.815.4-0.55
James Johnson1011-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-232015.014.50.5214.815.4-0.55
Isaiah Jackson1416-0.01-0.490.470.13-5-211615.414.40.9715.615.20.38
Myles Turner5454-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-272813.715.6-1.9815.115.6-0.45
Doug McDermott2022-0.11-0.390.280.18-10-16613.614.8-1.1115.515.30.19
Jarace Walker2222-0.11-0.390.270.18-10-16615.714.21.4913.515.8-2.34
Aaron Nesmith5557-0.15-0.350.190.05-7-191214.115.2-1.1215.515.00.48
Pascal Siakam6263-0.18-0.320.14-0.03-5-211614.115.2-1.0915.315.30.02
Ben Sheppard2120-0.18-0.320.140.20-13-13016.514.02.5515.515.30.24
Tyrese Haliburton6261-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-7-191214.215.1-0.8216.213.72.48
Obi Toppin2221-0.32-0.18-0.140.12-15-11-415.114.40.7315.615.20.40
Andrew Nembhard7069-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-11-414.414.8-0.4315.514.80.74
T.J. McConnell3637-0.41-0.09-0.320.12-18-8-1014.714.40.2614.216.0-1.72
Jalen Smith2221-0.44-0.06-0.390.14-20-6-1416.114.12.0215.315.3-0.03

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alex Caruso59590.490.010.47-0.192332015.215.5-0.2714.115.3-1.25
Andre Drummond37380.460.040.42-0.212332013.716.3-2.6015.014.20.82
DeMar DeRozan77750.400.100.30-0.161971215.215.7-0.4914.713.90.80
Javonte Green38370.400.100.30-0.362602615.415.20.2315.513.91.51
Ayo Dosunmu67690.300.200.10-0.111412215.315.30.0614.813.81.00
Dalen Terry28280.290.210.08-0.061214-214.015.9-1.8913.015.2-2.16
Torrey Craig34340.150.35-0.21-0.06719-1215.315.3-0.0213.814.9-1.10
Jevon Carter1090.050.45-0.40-0.01224-2214.615.4-0.7917.614.23.34
Nikola Vucevic55540.040.46-0.42-0.02224-2216.813.43.3614.414.7-0.28
Onuralp Bitim540.000.50-0.50-0.03125-2411.215.5-4.3311.514.7-3.16
Terry Taylor540.000.50-0.50-0.03125-2411.215.5-4.3311.514.7-3.16
Coby White7069-0.070.57-0.64-0.07026-2616.412.63.7614.714.00.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 81, CLE 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
CHI 74, MIA 900.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,195.4%
UTA 106, LAC 1320.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%