NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	119		Excitement	1.4 [859]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (DEN): +18.6%
Denver Nuggets	136		Comeback	2.9 [1072]		LVP	Jahmai Mashack (MEM): -9.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taylor Hendricks	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	8	89%	0.12	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Toby Okani	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	10	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Lucas Williamson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	64%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Cedric Coward	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.19	0.01	0.11	17	69%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Adama Bal	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Walter Clayton Jr.	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dariq Whitehead	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	10	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jahmai Mashack	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	12	35%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.04	-0.03	12	75%	0.19	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.01	10	65%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	17	67%	0.18	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Christian Braun	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	68%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Julian Strawther	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	6	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valan?i?nas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	6	93%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Joki?	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
DaRon Holmes II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Simpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Pickett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.0	28.7	0.0	24.5	0.0	28.8	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.1%

DEN +5.2%

DEN +14.6%

MEM -10.5%

DEN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	15.1	13.5	14.2	117.8	136.0	113.4
season	13.8	14.6		111.4	119.3
opponent	14.1	14.2		114.7	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.5	14.7	14.8	15.4	15.1
DEN	13.8	12.0	14.0	14.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	27	27	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.05	8	-25	33	14.7	15.2	-0.50	12.0	14.1	-2.16
Walter Clayton Jr.	66	67	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.06	3	-20	23	14.7	15.7	-0.99	14.3	12.1	2.16
Cedric Coward	66	67	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.06	3	-20	23	14.7	15.7	-0.99	14.3	12.1	2.16
Taylor Hendricks	66	67	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.06	3	-20	23	14.7	15.7	-0.99	14.3	12.1	2.16
Jahmai Mashack	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	1	-19	15.0	15.1	-0.09	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Toby Okani	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	1	-19	15.0	15.1	-0.09	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Adama Bal	95	94	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	-1	-15	15.1	15.2	-0.10	13.8	9.5	4.30
Dariq Whitehead	79	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	3	-23	14.8	15.9	-1.02	13.5	13.7	-0.24
Lucas Williamson	101	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	0	-17	15.1	0.0	15.07	13.5	0.0	13.54

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	63	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.05	23	-6	29	14.0	12.7	1.33	15.1	14.9	0.20
Bruce Brown	86	88	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-1	19	13.7	12.6	1.04	15.0	15.8	-0.89
Cameron Johnson	83	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-1	19	13.3	14.5	-1.19	15.1	15.1	-0.06
Nikola Joki?	76	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	4	9	13.2	14.6	-1.43	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Jamal Murray	79	80	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	2	13	13.2	14.7	-1.43	15.3	14.2	1.05
Julian Strawther	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	6	5	13.7	13.1	0.56	15.1	15.0	0.09
Christian Braun	66	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	8	1	13.4	13.8	-0.39	15.2	14.8	0.46
Aaron Gordon	58	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	11	-5	13.4	13.7	-0.30	14.9	15.3	-0.33
DaRon Holmes II	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.05	4	13	-9	14.6	13.2	1.43	15.4	15.0	0.40
KJ Simpson	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.05	4	13	-9	14.6	13.2	1.43	15.4	15.0	0.40
Jalen Pickett	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.05	4	13	-9	14.6	13.2	1.43	15.4	15.0	0.40
Curtis Jones	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.05	4	13	-9	14.6	13.2	1.43	15.4	15.0	0.40
Jonas Valan?i?nas	27	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	17	-17	13.6	13.5	0.07	14.5	15.3	-0.74
Zeke Nnaji	36	36	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	24	-31	14.3	13.1	1.15	14.4	15.4	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.55,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 101, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
LAC 92, NOH 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
PHI 96, CHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%