NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	102		Excitement	6.6 [494]		MVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): +15.3%
Boston Celtics	113		Comeback	3.4 [468]		LVP	Sion James (CHA): -15.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.02	24	67%	0.26	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Brandon Miller	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	16	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabat�	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kon Knueppel	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	16	41%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sion James	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	7	13%	-0.13	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	8	75%	0.21	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	15	66%	0.19	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.04	-0.05	29	54%	0.21	5	-0.11	7	86%	0.04
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.02	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	5	120%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	0.00	-0.03	10	10%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.2	35.3	15.3	26.1	2.3	26.9	131.8
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.7	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +46.5%

BOS +1.5%

BOS +2.4%

BOS +0.2%

CHA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	14.2	110.9	122.8	113.6
season	15.1	15.5		116.9	118.8
opponent	14.3	14.1		110.6	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.4	14.4	14.8	18.4	15.8
BOS	17.0	12.7	15.9	16.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Green	64	62	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-10	9	14.8	18.1	-3.31	15.5	15.3	0.15
Pat Connaughton	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-8	5	16.7	15.8	0.89	17.5	15.3	2.21
Sion James	66	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-8	5	16.0	15.3	0.68	15.6	15.0	0.55
Brandon Miller	84	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-4	-3	15.5	19.6	-4.15	15.5	14.2	1.30
Moussa Diabat�	71	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	16.2	14.7	1.52	16.1	13.3	2.78
Miles Bridges	77	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	15.7	16.4	-0.67	15.8	13.4	2.45
LaMelo Ball	85	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	2	-15	15.6	18.6	-2.96	15.5	14.8	0.64
Ryan Kalkbrenner	92	92	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	0	-11	15.8	0.0	15.84	15.4	0.0	15.43
Kon Knueppel	92	92	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	0	-11	15.8	0.0	15.84	15.4	0.0	15.43
Grant Williams	79	79	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	4	-19	16.3	13.2	3.04	16.0	12.2	3.82

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Neemias Queta	62	64	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.09	20	-9	29	16.7	12.9	3.76	16.1	15.3	0.74
Jaylen Brown	92	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	15.4	0.0	15.43	15.8	0.0	15.84
Payton Pritchard	78	78	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	1	9	16.4	10.3	6.07	16.3	13.0	3.35
Derrick White	80	79	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	4	3	15.7	13.6	2.13	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Nikola Vu?evi?	66	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	8	-5	15.2	15.9	-0.68	16.1	15.2	0.90
Jayson Tatum	84	84	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	10	-9	15.6	13.7	1.85	15.7	17.0	-1.27
Jordan Walsh	71	72	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	8	-5	15.1	16.7	-1.66	15.1	18.4	-3.34
Baylor Scheierman	45	45	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	13	-15	16.4	14.5	1.89	15.5	16.1	-0.59
Sam Hauser	29	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	7	-3	18.1	14.2	3.90	14.8	16.4	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 84, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.97,1	92.8%
PHI 101, NYK 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
MIN 111, HOU 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	92.4%