NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	6.1 [645]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +20.8%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	3.9 [675]		LVP	Marc Jackson (PHI): -10.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.00	8	81%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	4	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	14	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	23	54%	0.07	6	-0.16	8	100%	0.04
Marc Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	13	50%	-0.04	2	-0.07	10	80%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.09	0.02	11	91%	0.27	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	-0.02	0.10	14	84%	0.10	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	52%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	16	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	47%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.5	28.8	21.4	27.2	3.5	33.3	144.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +23.4%

NYK +16.4%

NYK +9.8%

PHI -4.2%

NYK +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	16.2	15.5	105.2	117.7	104.0
season	13.9	15.8		101.1	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.8		106.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.8	15.0	15.2	13.3	13.8
NYK	16.0	14.4	14.8	20.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	10	12	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.13	8	-20	28	12.6	13.9	-1.31	21.1	15.5	5.55
Andre Iguodala	50	50	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-17	22	12.5	15.2	-2.69	17.2	15.2	1.98
Rodney Rogers	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-10	8	15.4	12.8	2.54	18.4	14.9	3.50
Marc Jackson	85	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	13.5	15.7	-2.21	16.2	16.8	-0.67
Samuel Dalembert	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	1	-14	13.3	15.2	-1.93	15.2	19.0	-3.85
Kyle Korver	88	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	1	-14	13.7	14.7	-1.07	16.1	17.4	-1.25
Aaron McKie	54	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	4	-20	15.1	12.0	3.06	15.5	17.1	-1.62
Allen Iverson	86	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.02	-20	8	-28	13.9	12.6	1.31	15.5	21.1	-5.55

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	87	88	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-7	26	15.8	20.7	-4.90	13.7	14.9	-1.20
Anfernee Hardaway	54	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-1	14	16.4	16.1	0.28	14.2	13.3	0.85
Kurt Thomas	59	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	1	10	16.9	15.2	1.74	14.0	13.3	0.74
Trevor Ariza	39	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	9	-6	15.2	16.9	-1.77	14.5	13.3	1.21
Tim Thomas	68	69	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	2	8	16.1	16.5	-0.38	13.5	14.6	-1.09
Jerome Williams	39	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	13	-14	16.9	15.8	1.17	13.5	13.9	-0.37
Jamal Crawford	68	67	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	10	-8	17.5	13.1	4.36	13.5	14.5	-1.02
Michael Sweetney	66	67	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	9	-6	15.2	18.6	-3.45	13.7	14.0	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.23,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.9,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
MIN 95, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1	93.2%
ATL 84, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%