NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Excitement	1.7 [540]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +29.6%
Houston Rockets	117		Comeback	4.1 [654]		LVP	Malik Beasley (MIN): -27.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Culver	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	8	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.04	0.05	15	72%	0.22	6	-0.15	9	78%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	5	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.01	0.07	12	69%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Naz Reid	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	61%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jake Layman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Nowell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.04	0.03	14	57%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.14	-0.08	0.05	11	23%	-0.18	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.22	0.14	0.06	19	71%	0.36	3	-0.06	14	71%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.08	0.02	6	92%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.05	-0.05	15	47%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.05	0.04	17	67%	0.25	6	-0.20	6	83%	0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	25.5	14.7	30.4	1.7	28.6	129.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.9%

HOU +10.4%

MIN -0.4%

HOU +6.3%

HOU +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	13.4	14.2	108.8	111.4	109.6
season	13.8	13.4		107.1	111.2
opponent	14.4	13.8		108.9	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	16.0	14.4	14.4	14.4
HOU	12.5	13.5	11.8	16.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juancho Hernangomez	63	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-10	14	14.2	14.8	-0.66	13.3	13.6	-0.32
Jaylen Nowell	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	0	-6	15.1	14.4	0.73	14.4	13.3	1.11
Josh Okogie	74	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-8	10	13.7	16.5	-2.84	14.3	11.0	3.27
Jordan McLaughlin	41	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-5	4	15.5	13.8	1.71	11.7	14.7	-2.99
D'Angelo Russell	72	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.25	2	-8	10	14.1	15.3	-1.26	13.8	12.4	1.47
Naz Reid	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	1	-8	15.0	13.8	1.20	13.9	13.0	0.88
Malik Beasley	70	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	14.2	14.9	-0.72	13.3	13.5	-0.19
James Johnson	53	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	14.2	14.7	-0.45	13.1	13.8	-0.70
Jarrett Culver	39	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	3	-12	15.3	13.9	1.36	12.6	13.9	-1.29
Jake Layman	36	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	2	-10	14.9	14.2	0.65	13.5	13.3	0.19

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	89	87	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.24	19	-13	32	13.4	13.3	0.10	14.7	12.7	2.00
Austin Rivers	36	37	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.23	13	-7	20	13.6	13.3	0.36	16.1	13.5	2.66
Russell Westbrook	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-2	10	12.8	15.5	-2.67	14.6	13.8	0.79
Eric Gordon	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	2	2	13.4	13.5	-0.12	14.0	15.2	-1.14
Jeff Green	45	44	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-4	14	12.2	14.3	-2.10	15.7	13.4	2.30
P.J. Tucker	78	74	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	4	-2	14.2	11.1	3.03	14.0	15.6	-1.61
James Harden	78	74	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	11	-16	14.3	10.9	3.38	13.7	16.3	-2.54
Danuel House Jr.	30	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.03	-9	15	-24	12.8	13.6	-0.79	13.4	14.8	-1.40
Ben McLemore	23	22	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.11	-12	18	-30	12.7	13.6	-0.85	13.5	14.7	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 75, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	93.1%
TOR 97, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%
IND 102, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.34,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.0%