NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	129		Excitement	1.8 [1258]		MVP	Patrick Williams (CHI): +7.2%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	1.4 [906]		LVP	Bub Carrington (WAS): -7.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	0.00	0.07	8	100%	0.09	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	45%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	15	76%	0.05	4	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tre Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	15	59%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Yuki Kawamura	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mac McClung	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lachlan Olbrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Collin Sexton	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	16	42%	-0.00	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Leonard Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	11	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	0.00	0.11	10	73%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Jamir Watkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	0.00	0.09	4	80%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sharife Cooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.07	10	74%	-0.01	5	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Will Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.21	0.00	-0.16	13	8%	-0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Reese	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.00	4	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01
Leaky Black	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	12	54%	-0.03	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	0.0	30.9	0.0	31.8	0.0	25.6	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.4%

CHI +10.1%

CHI +3.3%

CHI +12.9%

WAS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	12.3	14.1	14.2	118.3	89.9	113.5
season	13.5	13.9		111.4	108.7
opponent	13.9	14.2		120.6	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	9.9	12.0	13.2	14.2	12.3
WAS	14.3	14.7	13.0	14.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lachlan Olbrich	109	109	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.41	31	0	31	12.3	0.0	12.27	14.1	0.0	14.12
Tre Jones	90	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.44	32	-1	33	12.1	13.2	-1.14	13.9	15.0	-1.07
Rob Dillingham	102	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.20	24	7	17	12.4	10.6	1.81	14.2	12.4	1.81
Patrick Williams	84	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	13	5	12.8	10.5	2.32	14.3	13.6	0.69
Leonard Miller	99	98	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.32	27	4	23	12.7	8.0	4.70	14.2	13.1	1.14
Collin Sexton	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	15	1	12.8	10.8	2.04	14.3	13.8	0.48
Isaac Okoro	43	43	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.24	20	11	9	11.7	12.6	-0.90	14.8	13.7	1.07
Guerschon Yabusele	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	17	-3	13.4	11.0	2.42	14.9	13.1	1.81
Yuki Kawamura	61	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	27	-23	13.7	10.5	3.23	13.9	14.3	-0.38
Mac McClung	53	52	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	29	-27	13.7	10.9	2.75	13.7	14.5	-0.71

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bilal Coulibaly	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.42	-24	-7	-17	14.0	14.2	-0.20	12.4	12.0	0.47
Sharife Cooper	77	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.28	-21	-10	-11	13.9	14.6	-0.72	12.5	11.6	0.91
Anthony Gill	41	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	-12	-7	14.4	13.9	0.47	11.6	12.7	-1.05
Jamir Watkins	95	96	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.26	-24	-7	-17	14.0	14.8	-0.76	12.6	9.7	2.92
Leaky Black	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	-5	-21	15.0	12.3	2.70	12.4	11.9	0.48
Bub Carrington	85	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.15	-22	-9	-13	14.2	13.7	0.47	12.5	11.5	1.04
Julian Reese	92	92	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.30	-27	-4	-23	14.4	12.7	1.67	12.0	13.5	-1.43
Justin Champagnie	97	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.38	-30	-1	-29	14.1	14.2	-0.15	12.2	12.7	-0.48
Will Riley	109	109	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.41	-31	0	-31	14.1	0.0	14.12	12.3	0.0	12.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
GSW 118, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
SAS 118, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%