NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	1.8 [1292]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +5.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.4 [696]		LVP	Craig Smith (MIN): -9.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	16	56%	0.06	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	72%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.14	0.00	0.12	10	77%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Rob Kurz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	57%	0.03	6	-0.04	10	80%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	14	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	55%	0.03	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	13	44%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	19	41%	-0.03	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	8	58%	-0.03	5	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.05	4	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.5	32.5	15.5	31.3	2.5	26.5	132.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.8%

GSW +3.6%

GSW +0.5%

GSW +7.9%

GSW +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	12.9	14.2	15.5	110.3	88.7	106.4
season	13.8	15.8		107.3	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.0	12.6	13.0	13.8	12.9
MIN	16.8	15.1	12.8	12.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	10	4	12.7	13.0	-0.32	14.7	13.4	1.33
Marco Belinelli	36	36	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	9	6	13.2	12.7	0.50	15.8	13.4	2.41
Stephen Jackson	62	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	12	0	13.6	11.9	1.71	14.6	13.6	0.98
Andris Biedrins	56	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.26	20	4	16	14.1	11.5	2.69	15.1	13.3	1.80
Kelenna Azubuike	53	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	15	-6	12.8	12.9	-0.02	15.1	13.4	1.68
Corey Maggette	61	61	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	17	-10	13.1	12.5	0.67	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Anthony Randolph	39	38	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.35	18	6	12	12.2	13.2	-1.07	13.6	14.5	-0.91
Jermareo Davidson	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	20	-16	11.5	14.1	-2.69	13.3	15.1	-1.80
Anthony Morrow	43	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.35	17	7	10	12.9	12.9	0.00	13.7	14.5	-0.83
CJ Watson	65	64	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	22	-20	12.7	13.1	-0.43	13.1	15.9	-2.84
Rob Kurz	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	8.2	13.1	-4.97	9.2	14.5	-5.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	18	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-24	24	15.8	13.9	1.98	10.6	13.4	-2.77
Brian Cardinal	24	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-25	26	15.1	13.9	1.16	12.7	12.9	-0.23
Shelden Williams	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-18	12	15.5	14.0	1.51	12.9	12.9	0.05
Craig Smith	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-15	6	13.0	14.9	-1.86	13.5	12.5	0.98
Rodney Carney	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-23	22	14.2	14.2	0.08	13.2	12.7	0.54
Bobby Brown	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-15	6	13.3	15.1	-1.86	12.2	13.5	-1.37
Ryan Gomes	64	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.23	-19	-5	-14	14.4	13.8	0.59	13.0	12.6	0.39
Kevin Ollie	51	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-10	-4	15.1	13.3	1.83	12.9	12.8	0.17
Kevin Love	59	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.31	-22	-2	-20	13.7	14.8	-1.11	12.8	12.9	-0.02
Mike Miller	90	92	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.31	-24	0	-24	14.1	14.9	-0.81	13.2	10.5	2.78
Randy Foye	81	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	-7	-10	14.2	14.0	0.25	12.8	13.0	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 129, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
PHX 127, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
MIA 105, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%