NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	127		Excitement	2.1 [1290]		MVP	James Jones (PHX): +9.6%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	1.1 [1052]		LVP	Roger Mason Jr. (WAS): -3.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	11	84%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	16	62%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.17	0.00	0.10	13	96%	0.13	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	6	83%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.18	0.00	0.15	9	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	22	49%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	25	53%	-0.01	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	45%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	27.5	15.7	23.2	2.3	26.5	121.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.2%

PHX +2.9%

PHX +2.7%

WAS -1.4%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	15.4	133.7	109.4	104.5
season	13.8	14.8		112.2	107.8
opponent	15.3	16.0		108.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	14.7	15.3	18.3	15.4
WAS	14.0	15.9	14.7	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.27	25	-3	28	15.7	14.6	1.12	14.2	16.5	-2.33
Boris Diaw	80	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	15	-8	15.3	15.9	-0.54	14.8	14.6	0.18
Raja Bell	85	86	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.14	18	4	14	15.0	19.3	-4.35	14.8	14.6	0.17
Steve Nash	72	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	5	12	14.7	17.8	-3.13	15.2	13.2	2.00
Shawn Marion	75	75	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	7	8	14.5	18.6	-4.10	14.9	14.2	0.72
James Jones	42	42	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	16	-10	17.4	13.8	3.53	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Jumaine Jones	12	13	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	14	-6	18.5	15.0	3.54	15.2	14.7	0.56
Amar'e Stoudemire	37	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.27	14	8	6	16.1	15.0	1.14	15.0	14.6	0.37

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-23	24	12.2	14.9	-2.61	22.2	15.1	7.14
Andray Blatche	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-23	24	12.2	14.9	-2.61	22.2	15.1	7.14
Donell Taylor	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-26	30	13.8	14.9	-1.13	18.7	14.8	3.87
Etan Thomas	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-22	22	15.1	14.7	0.37	14.2	15.7	-1.47
Roger Mason Jr.	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-18	14	16.5	14.5	2.03	18.2	15.1	3.12
Jarvis Hayes	27	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-16	10	14.9	14.7	0.24	16.7	14.9	1.76
Antonio Daniels	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-15	8	15.1	14.5	0.58	15.9	15.0	0.89
Brendan Haywood	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.17	-18	-4	-14	14.9	14.5	0.39	15.0	16.3	-1.36
DeShawn Stevenson	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-7	-8	14.4	15.2	-0.86	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Gilbert Arenas	81	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.32	-25	3	-28	14.7	14.8	-0.06	14.9	18.2	-3.31
Antawn Jamison	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	-2	-18	14.6	15.3	-0.72	15.2	16.4	-1.21
Caron Butler	85	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	-1	-20	14.9	13.5	1.36	15.1	17.6	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 118, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
BKN 112, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
BOS 111, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%