NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	1.8 [503]		MVP	Josh Hart (NYK): +16.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	111		Comeback	1.2 [1019]		LVP	Jose Alvarado (NYK): -15.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	-0.00	9	83%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.08	-0.04	9	65%	0.20	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Mikal Bridges	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Brunson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.02	0.05	22	67%	0.15	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
OG Anunoby	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Mohamed Diawara	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Miles McBride	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	10	40%	-0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.03	18	58%	0.28	4	-0.14	16	81%	0.03
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	5	60%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.02	11	76%	0.18	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chet Holmgren	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.1	35.6	14.7	35.4	0.0	40.1	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +11.5%

OKC +19.0%

OKC +2.4%

OKC +11.8%

OKC +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	OKC	NBA	NYK	OKC	NBA
this game	16.7	13.9	14.2	106.4	118.1	113.4
season	15.0	13.9		118.0	116.6
opponent	14.7	14.2		106.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.9	16.0	17.5	17.6	16.7
OKC	12.8	12.8	14.4	15.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Alvarado	50	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-12	13	17.0	16.4	0.66	14.8	12.9	1.90
Miles McBride	51	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-6	1	15.9	17.6	-1.69	13.6	14.2	-0.61
Mohamed Diawara	17	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-6	1	18.7	16.3	2.43	16.2	13.4	2.76
Mitchell Robinson	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-6	1	16.9	15.9	0.93	14.0	13.5	0.46
OG Anunoby	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	16.3	18.5	-2.21	14.0	13.5	0.51
Karl-Anthony Towns	84	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	16.6	18.0	-1.44	14.0	12.5	1.55
Mikal Bridges	82	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	2	-15	16.6	17.2	-0.52	13.9	13.5	0.38
Josh Hart	89	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	16.5	19.8	-3.26	13.9	13.6	0.30
Jalen Brunson	94	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	16.7	0.0	16.71	13.9	0.0	13.88
Jordan Clarkson	78	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.11	-16	5	-21	16.9	15.9	0.93	13.9	14.0	-0.14

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	81	82	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-7	25	13.9	13.5	0.40	16.7	16.7	-0.04
Chet Holmgren	84	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-2	15	14.1	11.8	2.33	16.7	16.6	0.13
Ajay Mitchell	80	81	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	1	9	13.9	13.5	0.45	17.1	14.2	2.88
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	94	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	13.9	0.0	13.88	16.7	0.0	16.71
Jared McCain	46	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	1	9	13.8	14.0	-0.15	16.7	16.8	-0.09
Jalen Williams	70	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	3	5	14.3	12.8	1.47	16.8	16.4	0.40
Cason Wallace	71	73	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	3	5	13.4	15.3	-1.82	16.5	17.6	-1.17
Isaiah Hartenstein	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	4	3	14.2	13.6	0.62	17.0	16.4	0.67
Jaylin Williams	64	66	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	4	3	13.4	14.9	-1.44	16.5	17.1	-0.56
Luguentz Dort	70	70	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	9	-7	14.1	13.3	0.74	16.4	17.7	-1.39
Isaiah Joe	19	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	15	-19	15.3	13.5	1.73	16.4	16.8	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 96, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.96,1,1	93.8%
CHA 82, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.94,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIN 100, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.92,1	93.5%