NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	124		Excitement	10.6 [48]		MVP	Cedric Coward (MEM): +22.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	125		Comeback	2.4 [326]		LVP	GG Jackson (MEM): -11.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.14	-0.01	0.16	0.01	15	56%	0.28	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02
Collin Sexton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	-0.00	14	63%	0.20	2	-0.10	13	85%	0.03
Leonard Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Lachlan Olbrich	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.03
Josh Giddey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.23	5	-0.24	5	100%	0.06
Patrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rob Dillingham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.13,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.13	0.00	21	59%	0.11	4	-0.18	7	86%	0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Coward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.13	-0.04	19	59%	0.40	3	-0.17	3	67%	0.01
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	10	70%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	8	71%	0.17	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Tyler Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Jahmai Mashack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	12	68%	0.21	2	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
DeJon Jarreau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.00	7	74%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Adama Bal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.12	-0.00	8	19%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javon Small	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.09	0.01	9	39%	0.14	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	14	31%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.9	0.0	29.8	0.0	32.2	0.0	41.7	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +24.8%

CHI -6.5%

CHI -20.2%

MEM +34.6%

MEM +17.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	11.8	13.9	14.2	110.7	111.6	113.5
season	13.5	13.8		111.4	111.4
opponent	14.2	14.2		117.2	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.2	12.5	10.4	12.1	11.8
MEM	13.4	14.2	12.8	15.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leonard Miller	78	77	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.19	1	-2	3	12.5	10.1	2.34	14.1	13.7	0.37
Matas Buzelis	104	104	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-5	9	11.9	9.7	2.15	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Collin Sexton	107	108	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-3	5	11.9	9.0	2.88	13.9	15.2	-1.36
Patrick Williams	86	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	9	-19	11.7	12.1	-0.43	13.4	15.6	-2.19
Isaac Okoro	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	3	-7	12.5	10.5	1.98	13.7	14.4	-0.80
Lachlan Olbrich	83	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.02	-13	12	-25	12.4	9.8	2.59	13.8	14.3	-0.46
Rob Dillingham	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	16	-33	12.1	11.1	1.03	13.5	14.7	-1.22
Josh Giddey	110	109	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	2	-5	11.8	9.5	2.29	14.2	5.7	8.50
Tre Jones	100	100	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.39	-11	10	-21	11.9	10.3	1.59	13.5	17.5	-3.99

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
GG Jackson	79	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-11	23	13.6	14.6	-0.99	12.4	10.1	2.30
Cedric Coward	96	96	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-2	5	14.0	13.8	0.15	11.9	10.9	0.95
Walter Clayton Jr.	107	107	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-4	9	13.6	21.6	-8.02	12.0	7.2	4.76
Jahmai Mashack	107	107	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-4	9	13.6	21.6	-8.02	12.0	7.2	4.76
Rayan Rupert	92	93	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	-3	7	13.7	15.0	-1.29	12.1	10.2	1.85
Adama Bal	110	109	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.45	-1	2	-3	13.9	15.5	-1.59	11.9	6.7	5.22
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	35	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-3	7	12.9	14.4	-1.45	13.6	10.8	2.84
Javon Small	35	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-3	7	12.9	14.4	-1.45	13.6	10.8	2.84
Tyler Burton	102	101	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.13	-3	4	-7	14.0	13.6	0.37	12.1	8.5	3.55
DeJon Jarreau	89	89	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.12	-9	10	-19	13.9	14.0	-0.02	11.9	11.3	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.34,0.4,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.73,1	91.4%
MIN 101, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.66,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.85,1	91.0%
BOS 106, VAN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.59,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.73,1	90.0%