inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 129 Excitement4.2 [113] MVPCameron Johnson (DEN): +38.6%
Denver Nuggets 135 Comeback34.6 [211] LVPPeyton Watson (DEN): -15.6%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Filipowski0.170,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.120.060.011766%0.191-0.02450%-0.02
Cody Williams0.160,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.040.021469%0.181-0.02786%0.02
John Konchar0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.130.030.001080%0.1500.0000%0.00
Kennedy Chandler0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.090.04-0.011073%0.161-0.0120%-0.04
Oscar Tshiebwe0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.01482%0.081-0.023100%0.01
Brice Sensabaugh0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00872%0.123-0.082100%0.01
Elijah Harkless-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0-0.070.070.011633%0.081-0.081100%0.00
Bez Mbeng-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ace Bailey-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.09,0.05,-0.11,-0.110.01-0.13-0.011454%0.102-0.2100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cameron Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.390.390.030.32-0.031155%0.391-0.0000%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.32,0.360.360.200.180.031870%0.391-0.038100%0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.150.150.16-0.010.001268%0.1500.00786%0.04
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.001257%0.071-0.03683%0.01
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01570%0.0500.0000%0.00
Nikola Joki?0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.13,0,0-0.000.14-0.120.021682%0.207-0.21862%-0.19
Christian Braun0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.01844%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Spencer Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Julian Strawther0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.03-0.001030%-0.044-0.12367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.60.030.10.028.20.029.10.0
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +6.1%
DEN +5.1%
DEN +35.1%
DEN +4.5%
UTA -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADENNBAUTADENNBA
this game12.814.214.2120.6127.4113.4
season13.914.6111.5119.3
opponent14.113.6114.7119.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA12.413.711.514.112.8
DEN13.215.713.414.714.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Filipowski57560.40-0.901.29-0.0415-213611.913.9-2.0014.713.71.02
Cody Williams97940.37-0.871.240.177-132012.713.9-1.2014.213.80.41
Brice Sensabaugh67650.29-0.791.08-0.0010-162612.413.4-0.9814.413.80.64
Oscar Tshiebwe58570.21-0.710.920.065-111612.613.1-0.5314.214.2-0.05
John Konchar9797-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.36-1-5412.515.7-3.1814.313.01.31
Bez Mbeng5454-0.500.00-0.50-0.32-60-612.613.0-0.3714.014.4-0.33
Elijah Harkless101100-0.560.06-0.62-0.35-71-813.09.83.1614.312.31.98
Kennedy Chandler101101-0.580.08-0.67-0.29-104-1412.911.71.2114.410.24.20
Ace Bailey7172-0.630.13-0.75-0.45-60-612.812.80.0515.012.52.50

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway Jr.86870.67-0.170.830.2514-82213.915.5-1.6012.812.70.14
Jamal Murray1061070.500.000.500.3260614.20.014.2012.80.012.81
Nikola Joki?1061070.500.000.500.3260614.20.014.2012.80.012.81
Aaron Gordon93940.490.010.490.4133014.313.31.0113.110.52.59
Cameron Johnson89890.480.020.470.4324-214.512.61.8513.012.10.91
Julian Strawther1414-0.130.63-0.770.07-713-2017.913.64.3014.612.52.02
Peyton Watson7980-0.320.82-1.14-0.14-612-1814.313.90.4112.613.4-0.84
Christian Braun5960-0.440.94-1.370.00-1521-3614.613.70.8911.814.1-2.27
Spencer Jones4647-0.511.01-1.52-0.01-1723-4015.213.41.8013.212.50.67
Bruce Brown5152-0.601.10-1.69-0.04-1925-4415.313.22.0712.812.9-0.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.09,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.24,0.16,0.43,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 116, ATL 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.19,0.24,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.16,0.32,0.23,190.7%
BOS 111, CLE 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.73,190.2%
HOU 106, NYK 1080.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.58,190.1%