NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	7.3 [349]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +39.4%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	64.4 [27]		LVP	Kevin Durant (HOU): -41.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reed Sheppard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.14	-0.07	0.02	13	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tari Eason	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	8	61%	0.13	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Alperen Sengun	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	12	57%	0.11	6	-0.18	4	75%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.14,-0.06,-0.41	0.00	-0.39	0.03	26	51%	0.01	4	-0.42	7	86%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.2,0.39	0.39	0.03	0.34	-0.03	12	61%	0.44	3	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	15	78%	0.23	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	16	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mohamed Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.13	-0.06	0.10	7	82%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.09	-0.01	9	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.07	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.3	28.1	15.4	35.2	0.0	37.9	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.0%

HOU -9.1%

HOU -36.5%

NYK +64.7%

NYK +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	14.2	109.3	113.7	113.4
season	15.4	14.8		115.1	117.4
opponent	14.1	14.0		110.9	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	13.4	14.2	18.4	15.2
NYK	13.3	17.9	14.6	13.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae'Sean Tate	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	9	-20	15.7	14.9	0.84	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Dorian Finney-Smith	94	94	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	2	-6	15.6	2.7	12.91	14.9	1.0	13.94
Kevin Durant	96	95	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	15.3	4.0	11.29	14.8	0.0	14.79
Amen Thompson	97	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	15.2	0.0	15.18	14.8	0.0	14.79
Clint Capela	71	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.34	-9	7	-16	16.3	12.2	4.08	14.0	17.2	-3.18
Tari Eason	82	82	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.38	-8	6	-14	16.5	7.9	8.65	15.1	12.5	2.61
Jabari Smith Jr.	85	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.45	-7	5	-12	16.1	8.7	7.43	14.9	13.7	1.20
Alperen Sengun	69	69	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	12	-26	16.9	10.8	6.12	15.2	13.8	1.35
Reed Sheppard	79	80	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.27	-16	14	-30	16.4	9.9	6.49	14.5	16.5	-2.07

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Shamet	83	85	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-13	28	14.5	16.7	-2.15	16.0	9.2	6.86
Mikal Bridges	81	81	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-11	24	15.2	12.4	2.77	16.5	8.5	7.99
Karl-Anthony Towns	81	81	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-11	24	15.2	12.4	2.77	16.5	8.5	7.99
Jeremy Sochan	85	85	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-6	14	15.0	12.6	2.45	16.2	7.7	8.47
Jose Alvarado	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-5	12	15.2	14.1	1.09	16.3	13.2	3.15
OG Anunoby	95	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.8	0.0	14.79	15.2	0.0	15.18
Josh Hart	94	94	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	2	-2	14.9	1.0	13.94	15.6	2.7	12.91
Jalen Brunson	95	96	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	0	2	14.8	0.0	14.79	15.3	1.0	14.32
Mohamed Diawara	34	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.12	-2	4	-6	14.4	15.0	-0.68	16.5	14.4	2.14
Mitchell Robinson	73	73	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	-0.02	-16	18	-34	15.2	13.5	1.74	14.3	17.8	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 98, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.84,1	91.3%
BOS 111, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.73,1	91.1%
WAS 116, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.19,0.24,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.16,0.32,0.23,1	89.8%