inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 107 Excitement2.4 [1164] MVPNickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL): +17.1%
Atlanta Hawks 146 Comeback1.4 [1146] LVPRayan Rupert (MEM): -5.9%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
GG Jackson0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.140.000.101476%0.034-0.006100%0.01
Tyler Burton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.120.000.101169%0.041-0.027100%0.02
Taj Gibson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jaylen Wells-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.03450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DeJon Jarreau-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01658%0.023-0.0400%0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.011352%0.004-0.04580%0.01
Taylor Hendricks-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.03950%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01740%-0.012-0.04667%-0.01
Ty Jerome-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.010.061553%-0.012-0.042100%-0.00
Rayan Rupert-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.00-0.0530%-0.013-0.0400%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.270.000.101193%0.1700.006100%0.02
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.170.000.087100%0.0900.002100%0.01
Corey Kispert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.00961%0.0600.0000%0.00
Dyson Daniels0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.000.04875%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Zaccharie Risacher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.05861%0.0000.002100%0.00
Keaton Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.084112%0.0010.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03160%0.0000.003100%0.00
Christian Koloko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Caleb Houstan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03560%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mouhamed Gueye0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03437%0.011-0.0100%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.000.051162%0.012-0.022100%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.08-0.000.11773%-0.001-0.02875%-0.01
Jock Landale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.000.041055%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Gabe Vincent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.00450%0.013-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.62.225.314.329.31.326.9128.9
league avg26.41.929.114.229.72.132.7136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +36.4%
ATL +1.2%
ATL +1.3%
ATL +10.2%
ATL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMATLNBAMEMATLNBA
this game12.914.814.2103.9139.0113.7
season13.813.4111.4114.2
opponent14.414.2111.8117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM12.413.914.111.212.9
ATL12.814.915.915.914.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
GG Jackson7879-0.24-0.260.030.44-23-16-713.012.50.4415.712.03.66
Jaylen Wells5051-0.33-0.17-0.170.60-32-7-2514.011.82.1516.113.62.50
Taj Gibson2930-0.34-0.16-0.180.19-18-21313.812.51.3513.515.3-1.76
Ty Jerome4848-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-13-261314.011.82.2216.313.52.73
Taylor Hendricks7071-0.37-0.13-0.230.40-26-13-1314.010.53.5315.313.81.52
Rayan Rupert8586-0.46-0.04-0.420.45-31-8-2313.410.23.1915.312.33.09
Olivier-Maxence Prosper9798-0.50-0.00-0.500.44-32-7-2512.911.31.6214.815.0-0.22
DeJon Jarreau8989-0.50-0.00-0.500.59-37-2-3513.58.74.7914.814.70.05
Walter Clayton Jr.103105-0.500.00-0.500.64-390-3912.90.012.8514.80.014.79
Tyler Burton103105-0.500.00-0.500.64-390-3912.90.012.8514.80.014.79

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mouhamed Gueye78750.53-0.030.56-0.2025141114.715.1-0.4313.610.92.74
Nickeil Alexander-Walker78770.500.000.50-0.7041-24314.415.9-1.4813.411.22.22
CJ McCollum66650.490.010.48-0.3027121514.215.8-1.6813.411.91.44
Dyson Daniels59590.460.040.43-0.513362715.114.40.7114.410.83.59
Onyeka Okongwu51510.460.040.42-0.3929101915.214.40.7114.711.13.59
Jonathan Kuminga74730.410.090.33-0.583452914.814.8-0.0213.311.71.58
Jock Landale74710.400.100.31-0.4228111715.114.20.8913.212.21.01
Zaccharie Risacher91890.370.130.24-0.513092114.913.81.1612.614.7-2.15
Corey Kispert33330.170.33-0.16-0.00633-2716.014.21.7213.712.51.20
Gabe Vincent59570.160.34-0.19-0.311623-715.314.21.1013.512.11.43
Keaton Wallace27260.000.50-0.500.06-241-4315.914.41.4811.213.4-2.22
Buddy Hield27260.000.50-0.500.06-241-4315.914.41.4811.213.4-2.22
Christian Koloko27260.000.50-0.500.06-241-4315.914.41.4811.213.4-2.22
Caleb Houstan27260.000.50-0.500.06-241-4315.914.41.4811.213.4-2.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 104, PHX 1240.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
TOR 89, WAS 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
PHI 86, MIN 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%