inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 111 Excitement6.9 [415] MVPJames Harden (CLE): +14.9%
New Orleans Pelicans 106 Comeback42.9 [55] LVPDennis Schröder (CLE): -11.2%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.150,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.150.060.110.021759%0.192-0.0400%0.00
Donovan Mitchell0.140,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.140.060.100.022351%0.171-0.03786%0.02
Sam Merrill0.140,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.140.100.050.01975%0.161-0.032100%0.03
Evan Mobley0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.070.090.000.011072%0.112-0.04540%-0.05
Thomas Bryant0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.01769%0.041-0.02250%-0.02
Max Strus0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.00550%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Dean Wade0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00658%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Keon Ellis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.01644%0.031-0.03475%0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dennis Schröder-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.01-0.03410%-0.063-0.05250%-0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zion Williamson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.140.140.16-0.01-0.001468%0.201-0.06956%-0.04
Saddiq Bey0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.000.011461%0.101-0.023100%0.03
Herbert Jones0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.04-0.00-0.051250%0.0800.0000%0.00
Karlo Matkovi?0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Derik Queen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00569%0.082-0.043100%0.01
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021341%0.012-0.043100%0.02
Trey Murphy III0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.05-0.021045%0.021-0.062100%0.01
Yves Missi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.01743%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jeremiah Fears0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.001132%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.624.314.328.91.638.3135.2
league avg26.41.929.114.229.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +37.5%
NOP -10.3%
CLE +31.7%
NOP -9.2%
CLE +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLENOPNBACLENOPNBA
this game15.015.114.2116.8110.4113.7
season13.714.1116.9111.9
opponent14.114.6116.3112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE12.616.014.517.215.0
NOP14.915.314.915.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden81810.59-0.090.690.3010-51515.214.01.1615.513.02.52
Evan Mobley75760.59-0.090.680.387-2915.114.60.4315.413.91.55
Sam Merrill77780.52-0.020.540.3750515.313.81.4315.513.32.21
Max Strus95960.500.000.500.3550515.00.014.9915.10.015.12
Donovan Mitchell95960.500.000.500.3550515.00.014.9915.10.015.12
Dean Wade55590.010.49-0.48-0.197-2914.715.4-0.6715.714.11.61
Nae'Qwan Tomlin1414-0.010.51-0.52-0.0105-516.114.81.2714.415.3-0.90
Keon Ellis7981-0.020.52-0.54-0.1441314.716.6-1.8915.413.51.89
Thomas Bryant6063-0.310.81-1.11-0.10-712-1914.116.4-2.2814.516.3-1.84
Dennis Schröder6063-0.310.81-1.11-0.10-712-1914.116.4-2.2814.516.3-1.84

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derik Queen69660.17-0.670.850.23-2-3114.716.1-1.4214.216.8-2.55
Yves Missi87850.17-0.670.830.083-81115.412.13.3314.717.8-3.14
Jeremiah Fears7571-0.01-0.490.490.14-50-514.716.7-2.0314.117.5-3.36
Karlo Matkovi?2424-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.00-116-1715.115.1-0.0616.014.71.30
Saddiq Bey9695-0.500.00-0.50-0.35-50-515.10.015.1215.00.014.99
Trey Murphy III9292-0.570.07-0.64-0.34-83-1115.49.06.3915.112.03.09
Zion Williamson8484-0.600.10-0.70-0.25-127-1915.115.6-0.5215.114.50.60
Dejounte Murray7980-0.630.13-0.77-0.34-105-1515.413.71.7215.213.71.49
Herbert Jones7374-0.640.14-0.77-0.37-94-1315.115.3-0.2915.413.61.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.47,0.16,0.06,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 103, DAL 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.69,0.54,0.47,0.32,0.15,0.09,0.02,092.1%
WAS 119, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.82,0.7,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.36,0.22,0,090.3%
PHI 98, BOS 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.56,0.29,0.23,0.08,089.4%