NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	130		Excitement	5.2 [682]		MVP	Max Strus (CLE): +15.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Comeback	1.2 [104]		LVP	James Harden (CLE): -17.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.02	-0.03	16	59%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Naji Marshall	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	12	78%	0.19	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.04
Cooper Flagg	0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	17	64%	0.15	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
John Poulakidas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Nembhard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	28%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.25	0.01	0.10	9	109%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.09	-0.04	14	55%	0.20	4	-0.07	5	40%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	4	83%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schr�der	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.05	24	52%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.04	0.05	12	45%	-0.06	6	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	0.0	28.9	0.0	42.7	0.0	31.4	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +22.4%

DAL +10.7%

DAL +1.8%

DAL +10.4%

DAL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CLE	NBA	DAL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.0	13.7	14.2	127.5	113.2	113.7
season	13.9	13.7		109.6	116.9
opponent	14.6	14.0		112.5	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	12.8	12.0	16.6	14.0
CLE	14.3	13.9	14.6	11.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	85	88	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.00	20	-10	30	13.6	16.2	-2.59	13.7	13.2	0.58
John Poulakidas	62	65	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	-9	28	14.0	14.1	-0.13	14.4	12.4	1.98
Brandon Williams	102	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	14.0	0.0	14.02	13.7	0.0	13.65
Khris Middleton	93	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-4	18	13.8	15.9	-2.05	14.1	9.1	4.96
Max Christie	80	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	3	4	14.5	12.4	2.11	13.7	13.4	0.30
Naji Marshall	85	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-2	14	14.1	13.6	0.45	13.4	14.8	-1.36
Ryan Nembhard	51	53	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	-5	20	14.2	13.9	0.31	14.7	12.6	2.09
Marvin Bagley III	74	76	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	5	0	14.6	12.5	2.09	14.4	11.8	2.54
Cooper Flagg	78	81	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	11	-12	14.0	14.0	-0.03	13.3	14.9	-1.66
Dwight Powell	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	6	-2	15.0	13.7	1.28	14.3	13.5	0.82
Caleb Martin	40	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	10	-10	14.9	13.5	1.45	14.9	12.9	2.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	85	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	13.7	13.6	0.04	14.1	13.5	0.61
Keon Ellis	85	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	13.7	13.6	0.04	14.1	13.5	0.61
James Harden	89	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	13.7	13.6	0.07	14.1	13.3	0.80
Dean Wade	63	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	14.2	12.9	1.33	14.8	12.9	1.85
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	66	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	4	-18	14.8	11.7	3.05	13.8	14.4	-0.55
Dennis Schr�der	70	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	7	-24	14.7	11.7	2.96	13.9	14.2	-0.32
Max Strus	100	96	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	0	-10	13.9	9.5	4.40	13.9	15.5	-1.57
Donovan Mitchell	106	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.7	0.0	13.65	14.0	0.0	14.02
Thomas Bryant	59	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.02	-18	8	-26	15.0	11.9	3.12	13.6	14.5	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.26,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 118, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHH 102, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
ATL 117, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%