NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	102		Excitement	5.2 [764]		MVP	Tony Smith (CHH): +21.4%
Washington Bullets	87		Comeback	1.3 [506]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -21.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Smith	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.04	-0.00	9	100%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	9	82%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	11	65%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Dell Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	11	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
George Zidek	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.05	11	59%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Scott Burrell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Glen Rice	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	12	29%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	2	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ashraf Amaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	12	58%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	20	44%	-0.05	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	23	28%	-0.21	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	25.2	16.5	23.3	1.7	28.0	121.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +58.2%

CHH +8.9%

WAS -19.4%

WAS -4.1%

CHH +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	WAS	NBA	CHH	WAS	NBA
this game	17.0	15.8	15.6	115.9	98.9	104.4
season	15.7	14.8		108.0	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.0		103.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.2	17.2	16.2	17.3	17.0
WAS	17.0	17.0	14.5	14.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	77	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-2	19	17.6	12.9	4.65	16.2	12.2	4.01
Glen Rice	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	0	15	17.0	17.0	-0.04	16.5	14.6	1.85
Matt Geiger	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	2	11	16.7	17.8	-1.06	16.6	13.0	3.61
Anthony Goldwire	48	46	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	3	9	17.2	16.7	0.46	15.9	15.6	0.25
Vlade Divac	33	34	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	5	5	18.2	16.2	1.98	16.8	15.1	1.65
Dell Curry	54	57	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	8	-1	17.2	16.6	0.54	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Tony Smith	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	13	-11	16.3	17.7	-1.32	15.0	16.6	-1.58
Scott Burrell	36	37	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	14	-13	16.8	17.1	-0.34	15.2	16.1	-0.92
George Zidek	18	16	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	14	-13	15.7	17.3	-1.58	12.7	16.4	-3.74
Tony Delk	4	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	12.5	17.2	-4.69	5.0	16.0	-11.00
Malik Rose	6	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	15.0	17.1	-2.12	9.5	16.0	-6.55

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ashraf Amaya	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	11.2	16.0	-4.82	15.0	17.1	-2.12
Jaren Jackson	38	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-12	9	17.4	14.5	2.99	16.6	17.2	-0.57
Ben Wallace	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-11	7	16.4	15.3	1.13	16.8	17.1	-0.24
Chris Whitney	32	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-10	5	15.1	16.1	-1.03	17.2	16.9	0.28
Tracy Murray	52	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-9	3	15.4	16.2	-0.80	17.7	15.9	1.76
Harvey Grant	36	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-6	-3	16.2	15.4	0.80	15.9	17.7	-1.76
Calbert Cheaney	46	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-8	1	14.1	17.5	-3.44	17.4	16.4	0.97
Rod Strickland	60	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	0	-15	16.3	14.6	1.68	16.7	17.5	-0.77
Juwan Howard	66	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	0	-15	15.7	15.9	-0.15	16.9	17.1	-0.15
Chris Webber	69	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-3	-9	15.8	15.7	0.08	17.3	16.1	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 118, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
LAC 78, TOR 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0,0,0	95.6%
BOS 92, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.05,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%