NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	131		Excitement	8.4 [214]		MVP	Bilal Coulibaly (WAS): +41.9%
Orlando Magic	136		Comeback	1.6 [751]		LVP	Tre Johnson (WAS): -16.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bilal Coulibaly	0.42	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.13,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.32,0.44,0.42	0.11	0.32	0.01	21	60%	0.64	3	-0.22	6	100%	0.07
Leaky Black	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.15	0.05	5	100%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bub Carrington	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Gill	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	5	40%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	7	88%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Justin Champagnie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Sarr	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Sharife Cooper	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamir Watkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Will Riley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Vukcevic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	12	46%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tre Johnson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	-0.01	-0.03	11	14%	-0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Suggs	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.34,0.38	0.38	0.14	0.21	-0.03	17	70%	0.47	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.13	0.23	-0.02	18	67%	0.44	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.06
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.12	0.03	14	65%	0.29	1	-0.09	6	100%	0.10
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.02	13	68%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	41%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Noah Penda	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	13	45%	-0.07	3	-0.03	14	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.5	0.2	26.2	14.4	27.4	0.3	40.8	0.6	10.2	148.5
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -0.4%

ORL +16.7%

ORL +13.7%

ORL +14.1%

ORL +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	13.5	14.2	113.9	117.2	113.4
season	13.9	14.2		108.4	113.3
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.8	119.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	13.8	12.7	14.7	14.0	17.2	14.0
ORL	11.5	14.5	13.0	14.4	15.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Riley	78	79	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-7	9	13.6	15.1	-1.49	13.3	13.9	-0.55
Bub Carrington	105	105	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-7	9	13.8	16.3	-2.47	13.2	16.5	-3.37
Anthony Gill	44	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.35	11	-16	27	14.1	14.0	0.08	14.8	12.7	2.10
Sharife Cooper	30	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	3	-11	13.4	14.3	-0.87	11.7	14.1	-2.39
Leaky Black	87	87	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-10	15	14.1	13.8	0.34	14.1	11.5	2.63
Tre Johnson	66	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	5	-15	13.2	15.2	-1.99	13.0	14.0	-0.99
Trae Young	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.00	-12	7	-19	12.9	15.2	-2.21	13.7	13.3	0.41
Alex Sarr	63	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	8	-21	13.3	15.0	-1.68	13.4	13.6	-0.17
Justin Champagnie	77	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	7	-19	14.0	14.2	-0.17	12.9	14.8	-1.94
Jamir Watkins	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	13	-31	14.0	14.2	-0.18	13.1	14.1	-0.96
Bilal Coulibaly	104	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	3	-11	13.9	15.0	-1.06	13.7	11.9	1.75
Tristan Vukcevic	80	81	-0.98	0.48	-1.45	-0.39	-20	15	-35	14.2	13.7	0.47	13.3	13.9	-0.65

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paolo Banchero	111	110	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	13.5	12.2	1.35	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Desmond Bane	114	113	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	13.6	9.5	4.06	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Wendell Carter Jr.	102	101	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-2	9	13.4	14.0	-0.58	13.9	15.1	-1.17
Jett Howard	72	71	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-10	25	13.0	14.3	-1.30	13.8	14.4	-0.63
Moritz Wagner	50	49	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	-14	33	12.2	14.4	-2.20	14.1	14.0	0.14
Jalen Suggs	83	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	1	3	13.7	13.1	0.60	13.6	15.2	-1.54
Tristan da Silva	105	105	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	5	-5	13.7	11.2	2.55	13.7	17.3	-3.57
Jevon Carter	100	100	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	2	1	13.6	12.7	0.93	14.1	13.5	0.66
Jonathan Isaac	14	15	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	-3	11	14.1	13.4	0.66	14.3	14.0	0.33
Noah Penda	56	54	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	6	-7	13.2	13.8	-0.64	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Goga Bitadze	18	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	10	-15	13.9	13.4	0.54	12.4	14.4	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.84,0.5,0.62,0.46,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.78,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.97,1	92.5%
MIA 116, MEM 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.91,1,1	92.3%
SEA 85, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.86,0.97,1	91.3%