inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 111 Excitement6.0 [555] MVPTrey Murphy III (NOP): +15.8%
New Orleans Pelicans 122 Comeback1.7 [424] LVPScottie Barnes (TOR): -10.3%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.160.010.041474%0.161-0.036100%0.03
Jamison Battle0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.001150%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01757%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamal Shead0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.02760%0.0100.001100%0.00
RJ Barrett0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.03-0.011347%0.082-0.07862%-0.02
Alijah Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.00250%0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.00657%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.0530%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Gradey Dick-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.010.04658%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Brandon Ingram-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.06-0.001952%0.064-0.134100%0.02
Scottie Barnes-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.021432%-0.072-0.0300%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trey Murphy III0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.200.010.051287%0.203-0.04887%0.03
Herbert Jones0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.130.020.03989%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Zion Williamson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.040.021259%0.102-0.04862%-0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.020.032064%0.134-0.08250%-0.01
Karlo Matkovi?0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jeremiah Fears0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.02744%0.0300.002100%0.01
Micah Peavy00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Hawkins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yves Missi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00650%0.041-0.0500%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00337%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Saddiq Bey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.04-0.011530%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Derik Queen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00350%-0.043-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.41.329.014.528.01.234.1132.5
league avg26.41.929.114.229.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +31.8%
NOP +4.0%
NOP +17.6%
TOR -3.4%
TOR -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORNOPNBATORNOPNBA
this game13.613.914.2107.8115.1113.7
season13.914.1113.5111.9
opponent14.114.7116.3110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR12.413.414.813.913.6
NOP14.114.812.913.813.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alijah Martin2527-0.13-0.370.25-0.10-1-10913.913.50.4213.813.9-0.17
Gradey Dick6164-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-9713.114.3-1.1114.013.80.24
RJ Barrett7373-0.41-0.09-0.310.00-143-1714.112.51.6013.913.90.04
Sandro Mamukelashvili8080-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.13-121-1313.713.10.6113.814.2-0.43
Ja'Kobe Walter8486-0.50-0.00-0.500.06-198-2714.111.52.6114.212.71.49
Jamal Shead103106-0.500.00-0.50-0.18-110-1113.60.013.6013.90.013.91
Immanuel Quickley8080-0.500.00-0.510.14-2211-3314.311.32.9614.113.30.84
Scottie Barnes9798-0.530.03-0.56-0.03-176-2313.98.25.7714.210.23.95
Jamison Battle4143-0.530.03-0.57-0.12-143-1714.712.91.8012.814.7-1.84
Trayce Jackson-Davis4143-0.530.03-0.57-0.12-143-1714.712.91.8012.814.7-1.84
Brandon Ingram9394-0.570.07-0.640.08-2211-3314.28.35.8714.310.73.65
Jakob Poeltl8284-0.570.07-0.65-0.16-143-1714.410.53.9314.511.53.09

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Herbert Jones94930.57-0.070.64-0.0822-113314.310.73.6514.28.35.87
Jeremiah Fears95920.55-0.050.600.2012-11313.815.1-1.3213.811.52.30
Derik Queen84810.55-0.050.590.1912-11313.913.9-0.0013.813.00.71
Trey Murphy III98970.54-0.040.58-0.0821-103114.111.62.4713.810.03.82
Dejounte Murray84850.53-0.030.57-0.1423-123513.913.80.1714.210.83.42
Zion Williamson77770.470.030.44-0.0919-82714.113.30.8714.212.02.19
Saddiq Bey88880.390.110.290.1683514.212.51.6913.613.9-0.31
DeAndre Jordan53530.350.150.200.1474313.514.3-0.7913.613.6-0.07
Yves Missi40380.160.34-0.19-0.1192715.313.12.2414.912.82.13
Micah Peavy21210.130.37-0.25-0.1183515.013.61.3615.313.22.11
Jordan Hawkins27250.130.37-0.250.10110-913.813.9-0.1713.913.50.42
Karlo Matkovi?43410.110.39-0.29-0.1074315.412.92.4714.513.01.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.59,0.76,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.94,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 103, UTA 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.96,0.96,1,1,193.3%
TOR 74, POR 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.3%
MIL 74, DET 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.69,0.75,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,193.1%