NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	6.9 [460]		MVP	Devin Carter (SAC): +63.9%
Sacramento Kings	114		Comeback	35.6 [67]		LVP	Jarace Walker (IND): -11.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kam Jones	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.11	0.00	9	78%	0.24	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.15	0.13	-0.01	-0.03	22	57%	0.15	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Micah Potter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	9	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	9	63%	0.09	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Jay Huff	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	14	43%	0.08	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Slawson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taelon Peter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quenton Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	10	38%	-0.01	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.3,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64	0.64	0.17	0.43	-0.03	13	83%	0.76	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	15	56%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Daeqwon Plowden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.06	0.01	8	48%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.03	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	12	43%	0.06	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	13	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	0.0	27.1	0.0	36.1	0.0	42.4	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.0%

SAC +6.7%

SAC +2.6%

IND -0.3%

IND -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	12.4	14.2	101.9	105.6	113.5
season	13.8	14.4		108.9	109.5
opponent	14.1	14.2		119.3	117.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.4	13.7	14.3	16.0	14.3
SAC	12.6	14.0	11.4	11.7	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Slawson	44	45	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.02	14	-19	33	14.4	14.3	0.14	13.5	11.7	1.84
Obi Toppin	55	57	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.10	14	-19	33	13.7	15.0	-1.38	13.4	11.4	1.98
Micah Potter	69	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	6	-17	14.5	14.0	0.47	12.3	12.7	-0.38
Taelon Peter	29	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	7	-19	14.1	14.4	-0.31	11.5	12.8	-1.29
Kobe Brown	80	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	11	-27	14.9	12.6	2.37	12.2	13.0	-0.77
Quenton Jackson	107	107	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.3	0.0	14.33	12.5	1.0	11.54
Aaron Nesmith	87	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-2	-1	14.6	13.2	1.39	13.0	9.6	3.47
Jay Huff	83	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	-1	-3	14.7	13.1	1.60	13.1	10.1	3.02
Kam Jones	67	68	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.40	-8	3	-11	14.8	13.6	1.16	12.5	12.3	0.14
Jarace Walker	96	97	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.26	-13	8	-21	14.6	12.3	2.29	12.4	12.8	-0.43
Ben Sheppard	76	77	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.44	-11	6	-17	14.9	12.9	2.05	12.8	11.5	1.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Carter	54	54	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.27	22	-17	39	11.6	13.3	-1.72	15.1	13.5	1.55
Killian Hayes	88	87	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-11	27	12.2	13.6	-1.43	14.6	13.1	1.51
Daeqwon Plowden	93	93	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-7	19	12.4	12.7	-0.27	14.6	12.6	1.94
Maxime Raynaud	91	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	1	3	13.0	9.6	3.31	14.7	12.5	2.20
Nique Clifford	108	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	12.4	0.0	12.44	14.3	0.0	14.33
Drew Eubanks	73	73	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	-3	11	12.1	13.2	-1.13	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Malik Monk	42	42	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	14	-23	13.4	11.8	1.63	14.0	14.5	-0.50
DeMar DeRozan	53	52	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	14	-23	13.5	11.4	2.11	13.8	14.8	-0.97
Doug McDermott	18	18	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	15	-25	14.1	12.1	2.01	13.3	14.5	-1.26
Russell Westbrook	63	61	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	17	-29	13.6	10.8	2.77	14.0	14.8	-0.76
Precious Achiuwa	57	55	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.10	-16	21	-37	13.8	10.9	2.87	13.9	14.8	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.39,0.71,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.64,0.89,1,1	91.8%
ATL 110, LAC 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.77,0.99,1	91.7%
MIA 118, HOU 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.72,1	91.2%