inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 98 Excitement7.3 [363] MVPRick Fox (LAL): +13.1%
Los Angeles Lakers 106 Comeback14.8 [324] LVPNick Van Exel (DEN): -19.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keon Clark0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.020.004100%0.0900.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.070.09-0.041037%0.081-0.02450%-0.02
James Posey0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.01462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04-0.020.06-0.00657%0.102-0.062100%0.01
Bryant Stith0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.02671%0.0300.002100%0.01
Cory Alexander0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Popeye Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Gatling-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01646%0.001-0.0210%-0.01
Antonio McDyess-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.01-0.03-0.032250%0.052-0.074100%0.02
George McCloud-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03937%-0.021-0.031100%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2-0.09-0.13-0.022437%-0.152-0.0500%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.130.130.080.080.02583%0.1300.002100%0.02
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.130.13-0.030.14-0.012357%0.214-0.091547%-0.07
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.110.110.020.05-0.052159%0.214-0.10786%0.02
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.06-0.00425%0.0400.0000%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01387%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.030.00933%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Glen Rice0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.001246%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.01233%-0.021-0.0120%-0.03
Travis Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.430.716.425.22.727.7130.2
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +41.1%
LAL +5.4%
DEN -4.8%
LAL +7.1%
LAL +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game16.514.515.2105.4114.0101.7
season14.815.3101.5105.6
opponent15.115.098.1103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN17.614.516.817.316.5
LAL13.715.513.714.714.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keon Clark36340.33-0.831.160.0111-193013.518.4-4.8815.813.72.16
Cory Alexander17170.17-0.670.83-0.078-162413.217.2-4.0114.114.5-0.41
Chris Gatling22210.17-0.670.83-0.016-142014.217.2-3.0015.214.20.95
James Posey46460.16-0.660.810.102-101217.615.42.1613.915.0-1.02
Bryant Stith36350.03-0.530.560.09-2-6419.114.94.2313.115.3-2.14
Popeye Jones43-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-8813.516.7-3.1515.014.40.57
Tariq Abdul-Wahad5758-0.530.03-0.56-0.35-6-2-414.919.1-4.2315.313.12.14
George McCloud4747-0.660.16-0.81-0.36-102-1215.417.6-2.1615.013.91.02
Nick Van Exel7676-0.670.17-0.83-0.20-168-2417.213.24.0114.514.10.41
Antonio McDyess7172-0.710.21-0.93-0.24-168-2417.613.14.4314.215.3-1.08
Raef LaFrentz5356-0.780.28-1.07-0.28-179-2618.314.14.2013.615.7-2.08

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher45450.83-0.331.170.2520-123215.113.81.3215.417.5-2.12
Rick Fox44450.64-0.140.780.3510-21215.113.91.2615.317.6-2.33
Shaquille O'Neal86870.50-0.000.510.3071614.414.7-0.2816.319.3-3.01
Kobe Bryant83830.290.210.070.0871613.918.7-4.7616.317.9-1.55
A.C. Green48480.080.42-0.34-0.1580813.815.2-1.4117.515.52.03
Brian Shaw16170.030.47-0.440.26-816-2417.213.93.3815.716.7-0.99
Travis Knight1312-0.130.63-0.75-0.04-311-1413.914.5-0.6116.816.50.36
Glen Rice4948-0.140.64-0.78-0.08-210-1213.915.1-1.2617.615.32.33
Ron Harper4241-0.150.65-0.80-0.06-311-1413.715.1-1.4318.415.03.35
Robert Horry1617-0.270.77-1.050.08-1220-3216.614.02.6213.517.2-3.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.64,0.89,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 79, LAC 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.85,0.91,191.5%
PHI 98, WAS 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.22,0.33,0.17,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.94,0.99,190.6%
CLE 83, IND 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.55,0.76,0.96,190.3%