NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	116		Excitement	7.2 [346]		MVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): +19.8%
Atlanta Hawks	125		Comeback	3.4 [458]		LVP	CJ McCollum (ATL): -9.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.07	-0.01	15	70%	0.28	4	-0.10	7	71%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.02	-0.01	15	73%	0.22	5	-0.15	3	33%	-0.02
Trendon Watford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.05	22	65%	0.14	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Dominick Barlow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.05	0.02	19	74%	0.33	5	-0.13	9	100%	0.04
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.08	0.05	15	71%	0.21	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	10	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	13	53%	0.05	6	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.3	31.8	14.5	25.4	1.5	35.1	137.1
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +14.9%

ATL +9.2%

ATL +14.0%

ATL +10.4%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	13.1	14.2	112.6	119.0	113.4
season	14.5	13.3		113.2	113.3
opponent	14.4	13.9		112.3	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	14.9	15.0	13.9	14.6
ATL	13.0	10.8	14.4	14.3	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Walker	69	70	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-7	5	14.7	14.4	0.34	13.1	13.0	0.13
Adem Bona	90	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	14.6	14.5	0.14	12.9	14.2	-1.22
Cameron Payne	86	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	-2	-5	14.4	15.6	-1.27	13.4	11.1	2.31
Dominick Barlow	84	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.17	-12	3	-15	14.6	14.3	0.33	13.1	12.9	0.23
Quentin Grimes	100	103	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	1	-11	14.5	16.3	-1.80	13.0	15.0	-1.95
Kelly Oubre Jr.	95	97	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	1	-11	14.6	14.5	0.09	12.9	15.2	-2.34
Andre Drummond	84	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	3	-15	15.3	11.3	4.07	13.1	13.0	0.11
Tyrese Maxey	99	101	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	3	-15	14.7	12.0	2.69	13.1	13.5	-0.43
Trendon Watford	56	57	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	6	-21	15.5	13.5	2.05	13.4	12.7	0.70

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dyson Daniels	95	92	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-6	21	13.2	12.1	1.09	14.6	14.2	0.45
Jalen Johnson	93	92	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-3	15	12.9	14.2	-1.31	14.6	14.2	0.45
Onyeka Okongwu	84	81	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-3	15	13.1	13.1	-0.01	14.6	14.5	0.05
CJ McCollum	105	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	13.1	0.0	13.09	14.6	0.0	14.58
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	97	96	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	1	7	13.0	14.4	-1.40	14.7	12.9	1.85
Zaccharie Risacher	78	76	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.30	2	7	-5	13.9	10.7	3.26	15.0	13.4	1.54
Corey Kispert	45	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	3	3	12.7	13.4	-0.73	15.1	14.2	0.86
Mouhamed Gueye	55	55	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	9	-9	13.0	13.1	-0.10	14.4	14.8	-0.47
Jock Landale	72	70	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	11	-13	13.2	12.7	0.52	14.6	14.5	0.05
Gabe Vincent	22	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.12	-11	20	-31	12.9	13.1	-0.22	13.9	14.8	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.43,0.44,0.3,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.9,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.3%
MIA 83, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.68,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.2%
NYK 88, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,1,1	93.0%