NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	114		Excitement	9.9 [76]		MVP	Wendell Carter Jr. (ORL): +62.2%
Orlando Magic	115		Comeback	18.2 [111]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -37.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.22	0.17	-0.00	12	89%	0.41	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
P.J. Washington	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.05	-0.05	7	78%	0.24	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Daniel Gafford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.11	0.03	6	75%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Khris Middleton	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,0,0.11,0.11	-0.05	0.15	-0.01	15	54%	0.25	6	-0.15	5	80%	0.02
Ryan Nembhard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cooper Flagg	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0	-0.08	0.05	-0.03	22	38%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Max Christie	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	10	27%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.62	0.62	0.14	0.50	0.02	6	94%	0.62	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.43,0.55,0.55	0.55	0.20	0.35	0.00	7	127%	0.58	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.00	14	59%	0.24	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	4	89%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	13	48%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Black	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Noah Penda	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.00	17	44%	-0.22	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	0.3	28.1	0.0	33.4	0.0	41.0	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +29.2%

DAL -12.0%

ORL +12.5%

ORL +3.8%

ORL +16.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.1	14.2	111.8	113.9	113.4
season	13.9	14.2		109.3	113.4
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.8	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	14.4	12.7	14.9	14.2
ORL	13.7	13.8	11.7	17.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Nembhard	71	70	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-4	7	14.0	14.8	-0.85	13.2	16.1	-2.86
Naji Marshall	80	80	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-2	3	14.3	14.0	0.37	14.1	14.0	0.16
Dwight Powell	68	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-1	1	14.4	14.0	0.37	14.2	13.9	0.30
Caleb Martin	96	94	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	2	-5	14.2	14.3	-0.09	14.1	13.1	1.01
Cooper Flagg	69	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-7	13	14.7	13.2	1.48	14.7	12.8	1.88
Klay Thompson	96	95	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.43	4	-5	9	14.1	17.0	-2.93	14.3	9.8	4.51
Daniel Gafford	83	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	2	-5	14.2	14.5	-0.35	14.1	13.9	0.16
Max Christie	90	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	4	-9	14.6	11.5	3.11	14.1	13.9	0.18
Khris Middleton	89	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.4	12.9	1.52	14.3	12.6	1.75
P.J. Washington	93	93	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	4	-9	14.4	12.6	1.85	14.0	14.7	-0.73

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paolo Banchero	90	91	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.51	5	-4	9	14.0	15.1	-1.14	14.3	14.2	0.07
Jalen Suggs	82	83	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	-4	9	14.0	14.3	-0.23	14.6	12.6	2.05
Wendell Carter Jr.	68	70	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-6	13	14.2	13.8	0.34	14.9	12.9	2.00
Desmond Bane	95	97	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.51	-1	2	-3	14.2	12.5	1.68	14.1	17.0	-2.90
Jevon Carter	88	90	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	-3	7	14.0	14.8	-0.88	14.4	12.9	1.51
Noah Penda	88	90	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	-3	7	14.0	14.8	-0.88	14.4	12.9	1.51
Anthony Black	67	69	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	-4	9	12.9	16.5	-3.65	13.9	14.9	-0.94
Moritz Wagner	61	62	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	5	-9	12.8	16.1	-3.35	14.0	14.6	-0.67
Goga Bitadze	73	76	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.42	3	-2	5	14.6	12.6	1.99	13.9	15.3	-1.48
Tristan da Silva	98	100	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.33	-4	5	-9	14.4	3.7	10.73	14.3	13.5	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.86,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.53,1	91.1%
MIA 94, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.9,0.79,0.33,0.42,1	90.7%
PHI 83, CHA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.41,1	90.5%