inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 117 Excitement8.2 [238] MVPKelly Oubre Jr. (PHI): +33.2%
Philadelphia 76ers 124 Comeback1.2 [611] LVPDavion Mitchell (MIA): -8.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.230.100.13-0.001862%0.272-0.04475%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.080.110.001069%0.222-0.046100%0.06
Pelle Larsson0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.06-0.01664%0.122-0.04250%-0.01
Bam Adebayo0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.070.14-0.040.032060%0.111-0.04862%-0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.001458%0.112-0.06580%0.00
Simone Fontecchio0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.00260%0.0300.001100%0.01
Kel'el Ware0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.00736%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.030.00275%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Norman Powell-0.050,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00530%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Davion Mitchell-0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.020.01350%-0.013-0.0700%0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.330.330.120.220.011375%0.392-0.052100%0.01
VJ Edgecombe0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.100.08-0.031368%0.312-0.102100%0.01
Dominick Barlow0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.100.080.014112%0.1700.0000%0.00
Tyrese Maxey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.050.10-0.022649%0.191-0.025100%0.06
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.070.00650%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Adem Bona0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.040.002100%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Trendon Watford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jabari Walker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Embiid0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01-0.010.05-0.040.022053%0.052-0.06989%0.02
Quentin Grimes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.01856%0.034-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.00.031.90.030.10.029.90.0
league avg26.41.929.014.329.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +40.8%
PHI +9.0%
PHI +9.1%
MIA -8.8%
MIA -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHINBAMIAPHINBA
this game12.914.314.2112.5115.9113.4
season12.814.5113.9113.2
opponent13.914.4113.2110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA11.714.012.214.112.9
PHI13.012.716.115.814.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kasparas Jaku?ionis76790.04-0.540.58-0.115-121712.613.9-1.2714.513.80.68
Davion Mitchell66640.02-0.520.54-0.104-111512.613.5-0.8513.615.3-1.71
Simone Fontecchio5051-0.03-0.470.44-0.092-91112.913.0-0.1014.314.4-0.06
Kel'el Ware8990-0.14-0.360.21-0.140-7712.714.5-1.8714.214.8-0.52
Pelle Larsson9498-0.28-0.23-0.05-0.25-1-6513.111.81.2514.215.3-1.10
Andrew Wiggins9194-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-2-5313.111.71.4214.116.0-1.90
Tyler Herro98101-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.23-3-4113.110.72.4014.314.20.17
Norman Powell3736-0.35-0.15-0.200.09-158-2312.912.90.0212.115.4-3.30
Bam Adebayo9195-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.25-4-3-113.112.01.0714.414.00.37
Jaime Jaquez Jr.104107-0.500.00-0.50-0.29-70-712.90.012.9314.30.014.33

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrese Maxey1071040.500.000.500.2970714.30.014.3312.90.012.93
Joel Embiid90860.420.080.350.2561514.115.8-1.7113.211.71.53
Kelly Oubre Jr.87840.410.090.310.2070714.314.5-0.2113.510.72.76
Trendon Watford56560.400.100.30-0.0716-92512.915.9-3.0512.813.1-0.28
Dominick Barlow96940.350.150.200.38-18-914.215.0-0.7512.813.8-0.96
VJ Edgecombe94910.310.190.120.2525-314.116.0-1.9013.111.71.42
Quentin Grimes86840.280.220.050.1061513.617.2-3.6212.713.9-1.20
Adem Bona91900.210.29-0.080.30-310-1314.513.21.2712.913.4-0.57
Jabari Walker22220.010.49-0.480.0107-711.615.0-3.4411.513.3-1.87
Cameron Payne7977-0.030.53-0.560.15-613-1914.314.5-0.2812.414.6-2.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.55,0.48,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.78,0.74,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 125, MEM 1300.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.98,191.6%
BKN 111, ORL 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.7,0.74,0.57,0.76,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.92,191.5%
TOR 70, SAS 730.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.92,191.1%